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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-28 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,421 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,416.4 (+4.8%) | 6.8 | 0.6% | 4h | 19.6d ago · 44× | 9% ±6 | 44% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 24% ±16 | 49% ±28 | > 7d | 1.93% | 1.57% | 505 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,374.42 (+3.0%) | 4.3 | 2.0% | 10h | 1.5d ago · 70× | 24% ±10 | 52% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 43% ±13 | 55 | 5% ±2 | 24% ±10 | 45% ±21 | 66% ±31 | 3.8d | 2.48% | 1.26% | 396 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,360.94 (+2.4%) | 3.4 | 2.6% | 18h | 1.6d ago · 97× | 36% ±10 | 49% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 79 | 6% ±2 | 36% ±10 | 56% ±17 | 77% ±23 | 1.8d | 2.27% | 2.05% | 551 → 13 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,313.57–2,315.86 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 5.4% | 2.5d | 1.3d ago · 104× | 89% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 11% ±7 | 47% ±11 | 86 | 72% ±5 | 89% ±9 | 93% ±12 | 96% ±14 | 1h | 2.06% | 1.55% | 308 → 7 | |
| at post · 2,305.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,297.76 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 2.0% | 11h | 5.3d ago · 58× | 74% ±18 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 58% ±8 | 74% ±18 | 78% ±29 | 81% ±44 | 3h | 2.51% | 1.85% | 137 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,287.75 (-0.8%) | 1.1 | 1.5% | 10h | 5.2d ago · 84× | 65% ±13 | 63% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 29% ±10 | 79 | 46% ±6 | 65% ±13 | 81% ±19 | 86% ±26 | 6h | 2.71% | 1.39% | 298 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,210.75–2,216.02 (-3.9%) | 5.5 | 2.0% | 14h | 2.8d ago · 84× | 26% ±11 | 44% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 85 | 5% ±2 | 26% ±11 | 42% ±22 | 59% ±32 | 4.6d | 1.92% | 1.64% | 360 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 2,163.29–2,168.56 (-5.9%) | 8.4 | 0.6% | 2h | 14.6d ago · 46× | 6% ±6 | 56% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 32% ±15 | 38 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 16% ±17 | 27% ±31 | > 7d | 2.77% | 1.78% | 339 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,126.38 (-7.8%) | 11 | 1.7% | 9h | 21.2d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±10 | 31% ±21 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 794 → 19 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 2,305.08 | 2,315.86 | 2,283.96 | stop | -0.58% |