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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-30 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,396.61 (+5.9%) | 8.4 | 1.5% | 9h | 19.8d ago · 44× | 6% ±5 | 44% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±4 | 22% ±14 | 47% ±25 | > 7d | 1.93% | 1.57% | 632 → 15 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,360.95 (+4.3%) | 6.2 | 2.6% | 17h | 1.7d ago · 70× | 12% ±6 | 52% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 43% ±13 | 55 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±6 | 32% ±15 | 51% ±25 | 6.9d | 2.48% | 1.26% | 650 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,335.48 (+3.2%) | 4.6 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 1.7d ago · 97× | 27% ±8 | 49% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 79 | 3% ±1 | 27% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 67% ±23 | 3.6d | 2.27% | 2.05% | 655 → 16 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,315.62–2,318.16 (+2.3%) | 3.3 | 5.8% | 2.6d | 1.5d ago · 104× | 30% ±13 | 42% ±10 | 11% ±7 | 47% ±10 | 88 | 7% ±3 | 29% ±13 | 48% ±24 | 64% ±36 | 3.7d | 2.10% | 1.47% | 293 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,280.05–2,374.2 (+0.8%) | 1.1 | 2.0% | 15h | 8.0d ago · 82× | 76% ±12 | 52% ±11 | 21% ±9 | 27% ±10 | 74 | 49% ±6 | 75% ±12 | 84% ±18 | 86% ±25 | 5h | 1.95% | 1.99% | 277 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,262.94 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.0% | 13h | 21.3d ago · 46× | 96% ±12 | 43% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 50% ±16 | 37 | 88% ±9 | 97% ±12 | 98% ±15 | 98% | 1h | 2.30% | 2.47% | 56 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,262.83 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,261.42 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.0% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 89% ±13 | 62% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 81 | 73% ±7 | 89% ±13 | 93% ±18 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 2.64% | 1.44% | 141 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,235.22–2,253.15 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.1% | 15h | 3.0d ago · 84× | 86% ±10 | 44% ±10 | 21% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 87 | 67% ±6 | 87% ±10 | 90% ±16 | 93% ±20 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.64% | 258 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,176.94 (-3.8%) | 5.4 | 1.2% | 9h | 21.4d ago · 30× | 10% ±6 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 2% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 26% ±16 | 40% ±28 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 503 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 2,154.53–2,176.94 (-3.8%) | 5.4 | 1.2% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 21% ±12 | 56% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±12 | 39% ±24 | 48% ±37 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.78% | 284 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 2,262.83 | 2,316.04 | 2,248.09 | target | +0.93% |