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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-03 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,379.64 (+2.9%) | 8.6 | 0.8% | 3h | 19.8d ago · 44× | 5% ±4 | 44% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 21% ±13 | 45% ±25 | > 7d | 1.93% | 1.57% | 647 → 15 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,339.29 (+1.1%) | 3.4 | 1.7% | 10h | 1.7d ago · 70× | 36% ±14 | 52% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 43% ±13 | 55 | 9% ±3 | 36% ±13 | 56% ±24 | 71% ±34 | 2.3d | 2.48% | 1.26% | 293 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,329.93 (+0.7%) | 2.2 | 2.5% | 19h | 1.7d ago · 97× | 47% ±12 | 49% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 79 | 15% ±4 | 48% ±12 | 67% ±20 | 85% ±24 | 1.1d | 2.27% | 2.05% | 382 → 9 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,315.37–2,315.81 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 3.3% | 1.4d | 1.5d ago · 79× | 91% ±9 | 37% ±11 | 14% ±8 | 49% ±11 | 73 | 78% ±6 | 92% ±9 | 95% ±12 | 97% ±15 | 1h | 2.03% | 1.37% | 211 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,313.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,284.56 (-1.2%) | 3.7 | 1.5% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 106× | 40% ±13 | 54% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 109 | 9% ±3 | 40% ±13 | 60% ±21 | 77% ±29 | 1.6d | 2.33% | 1.28% | 354 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,267.83 (-2.0%) | 5.8 | 1.1% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 59× | 15% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±6 | 37% ±15 | 59% ±24 | 4.9d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 688 → 16 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,255.86 (-2.5%) | 7.4 | 1.1% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 13% ±6 | 62% ±10 | 7% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 82 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 32% ±14 | 53% ±23 | 6.1d | 2.67% | 1.42% | 740 → 18 | |
| HVN zone | 2,237.8–2,255.53 (-2.5%) | 7.4 | 1.2% | 9h | 3.0d ago · 84× | 12% ±8 | 45% ±10 | 21% ±8 | 34% ±10 | 88 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±8 | 24% ±19 | 41% ±32 | > 7d | 1.95% | 1.63% | 362 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,197.91 (-5.0%) | 15 | 1.0% | 6h | 21.4d ago · 30× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±8 | 23% ±19 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 797 → 19 | |
| LVN zone | 2,153.59–2,171.32 (-6.1%) | 18 | 0.3% | 48m | 1.2d ago · 47× | 0% ±2 | 56% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±10 | 9% ±25 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.78% | 219 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 2,313.01 | 2,267.83 | 2,339.29 | stop | -0.22% |
| 30d | POC | short | 2,313.01 | 2,197.91 | 2,379.64 | expired | -0.22% |