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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-04 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,379.64 (+2.7%) | 5.1 | 1.2% | 4h | 19.7d ago · 44× | 17% ±10 | 44% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±10 | 36% ±21 | 59% ±34 | 5.3d | 1.93% | 1.57% | 353 → 8 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,339.29 (+0.9%) | 1.8 | 2.8% | 17h | 1.6d ago · 70× | 66% ±16 | 53% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 42% ±13 | 56 | 31% ±6 | 66% ±16 | 76% ±25 | 85% ±31 | 11h | 2.39% | 1.25% | 195 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,329.93 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 4.3% | 1.5d | 1.7d ago · 97× | 74% ±13 | 49% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 80 | 54% ±6 | 74% ±13 | 86% ±17 | 93% ±19 | 4h | 2.12% | 1.99% | 284 → 7 | |
| at post · 2,318.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,313.77–2,315.37 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.3% | 2.2d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 89% ±10 | 48% ±11 | 13% ±7 | 39% ±11 | 80 | 77% ±5 | 89% ±10 | 93% ±14 | 95% ±19 | 1h | 2.23% | 1.60% | 227 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 2,284.56 (-1.4%) | 2.8 | 2.3% | 19h | 1.3d ago · 106× | 49% ±13 | 54% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 109 | 13% ±4 | 49% ±13 | 65% ±22 | 80% ±28 | 1.1d | 2.33% | 1.28% | 332 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 2,263.27–2,267.83 (-2.2%) | 4.1 | 1.7% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 25% ±8 | 57% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 82 | 4% ±1 | 25% ±8 | 49% ±15 | 65% ±23 | 3.2d | 2.61% | 1.59% | 714 → 17 | |
| HVN zone | 2,237.8–2,255.53 (-2.7%) | 5.2 | 1.8% | 14h | 3.0d ago · 84× | 27% ±11 | 45% ±10 | 21% ±8 | 34% ±10 | 88 | 5% ±2 | 27% ±11 | 47% ±21 | 64% ±31 | 3.7d | 1.95% | 1.63% | 372 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,202.34 (-5.0%) | 9.6 | 1.4% | 8h | 21.3d ago · 30× | 4% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 15% ±11 | 32% ±22 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 774 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 2,153.59–2,171.32 (-6.3%) | 12 | 0.5% | 1h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 3% ±4 | 56% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 6% ±11 | 15% ±25 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.78% | 349 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,318.01 | 2,284.56 | 2,341.92 | stop | -1.71% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,318.01 | 2,313.77 | 2,352.15 | stop | -1.71% |