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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-04 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,384.08 (+1.5%) | 1.5 | 2.7% | 13h | 19.7d ago · 44× | 63% ±19 | 44% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 33% ±7 | 64% ±18 | 76% ±28 | 94% ±24 | 10h | 1.93% | 1.57% | 153 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,355.62 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 5.3% | 1.5d | 1.6d ago · 70× | 83% ±16 | 53% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 42% ±13 | 56 | 69% ±8 | 83% ±16 | 87% ±25 | 91% ±33 | 1h | 2.39% | 1.25% | 128 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,348.73 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,339.46 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 6.4% | 1.7d | 1.6d ago · 65× | 92% ±13 | 40% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 52 | 73% ±9 | 92% ±13 | 92% ±22 | 94% ±33 | 1h | 1.62% | 2.32% | 103 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,313.77–2,315.37 (-1.4%) | 1.4 | 10.1% | 4.1d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 71% ±15 | 48% ±11 | 13% ±7 | 39% ±11 | 80 | 44% ±6 | 71% ±14 | 83% ±20 | 88% ±28 | 5h | 2.23% | 1.60% | 229 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 2,284.55 (-2.7%) | 2.7 | 4.2% | 1.5d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 51% ±13 | 54% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 109 | 13% ±4 | 50% ±13 | 66% ±22 | 81% ±27 | 1.0d | 2.33% | 1.28% | 329 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,267.83 (-3.4%) | 3.4 | 3.1% | 20h | 1.2d ago · 59× | 26% ±10 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 6% ±2 | 26% ±10 | 49% ±20 | 65% ±28 | 3.1d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 454 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,254.84 (-4.0%) | 3.9 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 1.2d ago · 85× | 32% ±9 | 62% ±10 | 7% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 82 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±9 | 56% ±16 | 69% ±23 | 2.1d | 2.67% | 1.42% | 671 → 16 | |
| HVN zone | 2,237.8–2,251.1 (-4.2%) | 4.0 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 84× | 35% ±12 | 45% ±10 | 21% ±8 | 34% ±10 | 88 | 7% ±3 | 35% ±12 | 58% ±22 | 74% ±29 | 1.8d | 1.95% | 1.63% | 362 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,215.64 (-5.7%) | 5.5 | 3.1% | 20h | 21.3d ago · 30× | 9% ±6 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 2% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 25% ±16 | 39% ±28 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 523 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 2,158.02–2,166.88 (-7.7%) | 7.5 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 9% ±7 | 56% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 18% ±17 | 28% ±31 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.78% | 343 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,348.73 | 2,313.77 | 2,371.43 | stop | -1.39% |