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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-05 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,384.08 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.3% | 11h | 19.8d ago · 44× | 92% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 43% ±16 | 39 | 73% ±9 | 92% ±14 | 94% ±21 | 99% ±14 | 1h | 1.95% | 1.53% | 94 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,379.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,277.7–2,379.64 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.6% | 11h | 3.0d ago · 84× | 94% ±9 | 45% ±10 | 21% ±8 | 34% ±10 | 88 | 82% ±6 | 94% ±9 | 95% ±13 | 97% ±16 | 1h | 1.95% | 1.63% | 174 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,363.79 (-0.7%) | 0.8 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 12.2d ago · 55× | 82% ±16 | 52% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 41% ±15 | 43 | 55% ±8 | 82% ±16 | 89% ±22 | 89% ±35 | 2h | 1.89% | 2.12% | 137 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,344.87 (-1.5%) | 1.8 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 1.7d ago · 65× | 79% ±16 | 41% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 54% ±13 | 53 | 33% ±8 | 79% ±16 | 87% ±23 | 92% ±31 | 9h | 1.70% | 2.30% | 145 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,313.77–2,315.37 (-2.7%) | 3.2 | 8.4% | 3.4d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 44% ±14 | 49% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 39% ±11 | 81 | 11% ±4 | 44% ±14 | 65% ±23 | 76% ±32 | 1.4d | 2.27% | 1.59% | 289 → 7 | |
| 7D POC | 2,302.55 (-3.2%) | 3.9 | 5.4% | 2.1d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 37% ±12 | 54% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 109 | 8% ±3 | 37% ±12 | 56% ±22 | 74% ±29 | 1.8d | 2.33% | 1.28% | 364 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,276 (-4.4%) | 5.2 | 2.7% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 59× | 17% ±7 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±7 | 40% ±16 | 61% ±24 | 4.6d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 665 → 16 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,254.84 (-5.2%) | 6.3 | 2.8% | 22h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 17% ±6 | 62% ±10 | 7% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 82 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±6 | 39% ±15 | 57% ±22 | 4.9d | 2.67% | 1.42% | 778 → 19 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,215.64 (-6.9%) | 8.3 | 2.6% | 17h | 21.4d ago · 30× | 5% ±4 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 17% ±12 | 33% ±22 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 713 → 17 | |
| LVN zone | 2,158.02–2,166.88 (-8.9%) | 11 | 0.7% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 4% ±5 | 56% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 9% ±13 | 19% ±25 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.78% | 375 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,379.75 | 2,315.37 | 2,414.39 | expired | +0.64% |