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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-08 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,421 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,396.13 (+5.1%) | 8.1 | 1.9% | 10h | 19.6d ago · 44× | 7% ±5 | 43% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 43% ±15 | 41 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 23% ±14 | 48% ±25 | > 7d | 1.95% | 1.50% | 641 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,387.52 (+4.7%) | 7.5 | 2.5% | 13h | 1.6d ago · 97× | 9% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 46% ±11 | 82 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 27% ±14 | 43% ±24 | > 7d | 2.12% | 1.99% | 685 → 16 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 2,369.22–2,369.56 (+3.9%) | 6.2 | 4.0% | 23h | 1.3d ago · 104× | 13% ±6 | 49% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 91 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 32% ±15 | 52% ±24 | 6.4d | 2.22% | 1.48% | 681 → 16 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,315.58–2,317.63 (+1.5%) | 2.5 | 6.7% | 2.7d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 47% ±17 | 37% ±11 | 14% ±8 | 49% ±11 | 74 | 14% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 66% ±28 | 77% ±37 | 1.2d | 2.00% | 1.34% | 196 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,306.38 (+1.1%) | 1.8 | 4.9% | 1.9d | 5.3d ago · 56× | 55% ±24 | 49% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±14 | 46 | 24% ±8 | 54% ±24 | 68% ±37 | 79% ±56 | 16h | 2.68% | 2.12% | 99 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 2,297.62–2,374.58 (+0.8%) | 1.2 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 7.8d ago · 82× | 73% ±12 | 51% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 27% ±10 | 75 | 43% ±6 | 72% ±13 | 82% ±19 | 85% ±27 | 6h | 1.94% | 1.94% | 294 → 7 | |
| at post · 2,280.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,266.83–2,273.83 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.0% | 13h | 5.3d ago · 58× | 70% ±18 | 48% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 46% ±14 | 52 | 52% ±8 | 71% ±18 | 76% ±30 | 79% ±46 | 5h | 2.83% | 1.75% | 146 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 2,280.5 | 2,315.58 | 2,256.59 | target | +1.36% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 2,280.5 | 2,317.63 | 2,243.56 | target | +1.36% |