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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-12 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,421 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,426.05–2,428.96 (+6.0%) | 9.8 | 0.6% | 3h | 11.0d ago · 49× | 8% ±7 | 56% ±16 | 10% ±9 | 34% ±15 | 38 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 22% ±18 | 38% ±32 | > 7d | 4.34% | 1.28% | 364 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,376.6–2,377.97 (+3.9%) | 6.3 | 3.4% | 17h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 13% ±6 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 82 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 31% ±14 | 51% ±23 | 6.8d | 2.11% | 1.82% | 754 → 18 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,367.52 (+3.5%) | 5.7 | 4.5% | 1.0d | 1.5d ago · 70× | 14% ±7 | 52% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 43% ±13 | 60 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±7 | 36% ±16 | 57% ±25 | 5.8d | 2.39% | 1.29% | 628 → 15 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,327.8–2,331.04 (+1.7%) | 2.8 | 7.6% | 2.9d | 1.3d ago · 104× | 40% ±14 | 43% ±10 | 13% ±7 | 44% ±10 | 92 | 10% ±3 | 40% ±14 | 58% ±24 | 70% ±34 | 2.0d | 2.11% | 1.47% | 295 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 2,314.07 (+1.1%) | 1.9 | 8.1% | 3.4d | 1.3d ago · 67× | 57% ±18 | 37% ±12 | 14% ±9 | 49% ±12 | 62 | 23% ±6 | 57% ±18 | 82% ±25 | 89% ±30 | 19h | 1.93% | 1.26% | 170 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2,300.98–2,373.69 (+0.6%) | 0.9 | 4.3% | 1.5d | 7.8d ago · 82× | 79% ±12 | 51% ±11 | 23% ±9 | 27% ±10 | 76 | 52% ±6 | 79% ±12 | 87% ±17 | 89% ±24 | 4h | 1.90% | 1.91% | 280 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,293.66 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 3.6% | 1.0d | 5.3d ago · 56× | 90% ±14 | 48% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 76% ±8 | 89% ±14 | 94% ±19 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 2.43% | 1.92% | 106 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,287.87 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,277.9–2,283.53 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 5.3d ago · 58× | 70% ±16 | 48% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 53 | 53% ±7 | 70% ±16 | 74% ±27 | 79% ±40 | 3h | 2.77% | 1.68% | 181 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 2,234.08–2,239.9 (-2.1%) | 3.4 | 0.5% | 3h | 14.5d ago · 46× | 36% ±15 | 56% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 9% ±4 | 35% ±15 | 54% ±27 | 58% ±40 | 2.3d | 2.57% | 1.78% | 236 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 2,287.87 | 2,327.8 | 2,261.77 | stop | -0.21% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 2,287.87 | 2,314.07 | 2,266.77 | stop | -0.21% |