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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-14 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,367.56–2,368.3 (+2.3%) | 3.6 | 3.9% | 21h | 1.6d ago · 70× | 33% ±12 | 49% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 60 | 7% ±3 | 33% ±12 | 55% ±22 | 73% ±31 | 2.3d | 2.26% | 1.37% | 340 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,329.77 (+0.6%) | 1.0 | 7.8% | 2.9d | 1.7d ago · 97× | 74% ±12 | 48% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 46% ±11 | 82 | 54% ±6 | 74% ±12 | 86% ±17 | 93% ±19 | 4h | 2.12% | 1.99% | 288 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 2,315.62 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 8.9% | 3.5d | 1.5d ago · 67× | 91% ±11 | 39% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 48% ±12 | 64 | 82% ±6 | 91% ±11 | 94% ±16 | 97% ±17 | 1h | 2.00% | 1.25% | 152 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,315.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,313.55 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 8.7% | 3.5d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 90% ±10 | 45% ±11 | 14% ±7 | 41% ±10 | 85 | 80% ±5 | 90% ±10 | 94% ±13 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 1.95% | 1.62% | 214 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,282.54–2,292.34 (-1.0%) | 1.6 | 4.4% | 1.2d | 3.0d ago · 84× | 64% ±13 | 45% ±10 | 22% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 91 | 32% ±5 | 64% ±13 | 78% ±20 | 86% ±25 | 11h | 1.92% | 1.64% | 299 → 7 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,276.59–2,281.39 (-1.5%) | 2.3 | 4.4% | 1.5d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 37% ±11 | 50% ±9 | 6% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 112 | 11% ±3 | 37% ±11 | 56% ±20 | 69% ±29 | 2.4d | 2.44% | 1.49% | 408 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,256.82 (-2.5%) | 4.0 | 2.4% | 22h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 32% ±8 | 61% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 32% ±10 | 87 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±8 | 56% ±16 | 68% ±22 | 2.3d | 2.61% | 1.44% | 702 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 2,315.14 | 2,367.56 | 2,276.59 | stop | -3.95% |