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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-15 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,369.45–2,370.75 (+5.0%) | 6.5 | 4.5% | 1.0d | 1.6d ago · 70× | 12% ±6 | 49% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 60 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±6 | 30% ±14 | 52% ±24 | 6.4d | 2.26% | 1.37% | 734 → 17 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,335.73 (+3.5%) | 4.5 | 6.8% | 2.1d | 1.6d ago · 97× | 26% ±8 | 48% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 46% ±11 | 82 | 3% ±1 | 26% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 67% ±22 | 3.6d | 2.12% | 1.99% | 701 → 17 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,313.55–2,315.62 (+2.5%) | 3.3 | 10.1% | 4.0d | 1.4d ago · 104× | 32% ±13 | 42% ±10 | 13% ±7 | 45% ±10 | 92 | 7% ±3 | 33% ±13 | 53% ±23 | 68% ±32 | 2.7d | 2.08% | 1.41% | 323 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 2,282.54–2,292.34 (+1.2%) | 1.5 | 5.6% | 1.9d | 7.9d ago · 82× | 64% ±13 | 51% ±11 | 23% ±9 | 26% ±10 | 77 | 30% ±5 | 65% ±13 | 76% ±20 | 80% ±30 | 12h | 1.94% | 1.88% | 307 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,277.64–2,278.48 (+0.9%) | 1.2 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 21.2d ago · 46× | 66% ±22 | 42% ±15 | 8% ±8 | 50% ±15 | 40 | 39% ±9 | 68% ±22 | 77% ±34 | 78% ±47 | 7h | 2.15% | 2.30% | 105 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,262.78 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 5.4d ago · 56× | 93% ±12 | 48% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 46% ±14 | 49 | 79% ±8 | 93% ±12 | 96% ±15 | 97% ±18 | 1h | 2.34% | 1.92% | 110 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,256.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 2,256.35 | 2,183.4 | 2,314.14 | target | +2.84% |