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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-16 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,375.89–2,380.6 (+9.0%) | 19 | 2.1% | 10h | 1.6d ago · 70× | 1% ±2 | 49% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 60 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±10 | 21% ±21 | > 7d | 2.26% | 1.37% | 596 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,344.25 (+7.5%) | 16 | 2.9% | 19h | 1.7d ago · 97× | 2% ±4 | 48% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 46% ±11 | 82 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±16 | 23% ±29 | > 7d | 2.12% | 1.99% | 334 → 8 | |
| 14D POC | 2,326.88 (+6.7%) | 14 | 5.0% | 1.9d | 1.4d ago · 79× | 3% ±5 | 37% ±11 | 16% ±8 | 47% ±11 | 76 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 9% ±15 | 25% ±35 | > 7d | 2.04% | 1.34% | 242 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 2,313.7 (+6.1%) | 13 | 5.9% | 2.4d | 1.4d ago · 67× | 4% ±5 | 40% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 47% ±12 | 65 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 11% ±16 | 23% ±31 | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.25% | 274 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,278.81–2,348.58 (+4.5%) | 9.6 | 2.8% | 21h | 7.9d ago · 82× | 7% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 27% ±10 | 78 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 20% ±17 | 36% ±31 | > 7d | 1.95% | 1.87% | 391 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,272.74–2,273.17 (+4.2%) | 9.0 | 2.3% | 13h | 21.2d ago · 46× | 8% ±10 | 41% ±15 | 8% ±8 | 51% ±15 | 40 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±10 | 19% ±26 | 33% ±46 | 4.7d | 2.18% | 2.27% | 163 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 2,259.01 (+3.6%) | 7.6 | 2.2% | 20h | 1.4d ago · 104× | 10% ±8 | 49% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 42% ±10 | 93 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 30% ±22 | 51% ±37 | 5.8d | 2.17% | 1.52% | 314 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,246.84 (+3.0%) | 6.4 | 1.0% | 5h | 5.4d ago · 56× | 22% ±21 | 49% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 2% ±3 | 22% ±20 | 51% ±44 | 59% ±68 | 3.0d | 2.38% | 1.83% | 93 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,180.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.