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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-19 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,391.18 (+12.8%) | 15 | 2.2% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 70× | 4% ±4 | 52% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 43% ±13 | 60 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 15% ±12 | 23% ±22 | > 7d | 2.39% | 1.29% | 608 → 14 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,370.69 (+11.8%) | 14 | 3.7% | 20h | 19.6d ago · 44× | 3% ±3 | 44% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±10 | 35% ±23 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.48% | 723 → 17 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,312.82–2,313.15 (+9.1%) | 11 | 9.4% | 3.8d | 1.4d ago · 79× | 4% ±6 | 38% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 47% ±11 | 76 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 13% ±15 | 28% ±31 | > 7d | 2.04% | 1.30% | 320 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 2,262.58–2,342.79 (+6.7%) | 8.1 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 7.9d ago · 82× | 9% ±7 | 51% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 27% ±10 | 78 | 0% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 23% ±17 | 40% ±30 | > 7d | 1.95% | 1.87% | 429 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 2,255.6–2,260.58 (+6.4%) | 7.7 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 1.6d ago · 97× | 7% ±4 | 47% ±11 | 7% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 82 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±4 | 21% ±13 | 35% ±23 | > 7d | 2.18% | 2.01% | 718 → 17 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,220.53 (+4.7%) | 5.7 | 1.0% | 9h | 21.1d ago · 46× | 22% ±18 | 42% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 51% ±15 | 40 | 1% ±2 | 21% ±17 | 40% ±36 | 58% ±56 | 4.2d | 2.07% | 2.34% | 134 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 2,140.52–2,171.91 (+1.0%) | 1.1 | 0.7% | 4h | 11.1d ago · 49× | 61% ±18 | 59% ±15 | 9% ±9 | 32% ±14 | 41 | 34% ±7 | 62% ±18 | 72% ±28 | 87% ±33 | 13h | 4.25% | 1.26% | 174 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,120.26 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,117.73 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.9% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 106× | 90% ±9 | 53% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 113 | 79% ±5 | 90% ±9 | 94% ±12 | 97% ±14 | 1h | 2.18% | 1.41% | 261 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,076.74 (-2.1%) | 2.5 | <0.1% | 16m | 1.1d ago · 85× | 44% ±11 | 60% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 33% ±10 | 88 | 14% ±3 | 44% ±11 | 69% ±18 | 76% ±24 | 1.3d | 2.60% | 1.46% | 494 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 2,120.26 | 2,260.58 | 2,076.74 | expired | +0.66% |