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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-22 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,421 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,385.91 (+15.1%) | 25 | 1.3% | 6h | 19.6d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 44% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 13% ±19 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.48% | 493 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,314.51 (+11.7%) | 20 | 5.7% | 2.4d | 1.3d ago · 67× | 0% ±2 | 40% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 47% ±12 | 65 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 5% ±19 | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.25% | 206 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,287.49 (+10.4%) | 17 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 1.5d ago · 70× | 1% ±2 | 52% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 43% ±13 | 60 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 18% ±22 | > 7d | 2.39% | 1.29% | 518 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,246.78 (+8.4%) | 14 | 1.2% | 6h | 103.6d ago · 18× | 2% ±7 | 40% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 8% ±22 | 16% ±42 | > 7d | 2.43% | 2.10% | 106 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 2,147.92–2,169.89 (+3.7%) | 6.1 | 0.6% | 3h | 11.0d ago · 49× | 20% ±11 | 61% ±15 | 9% ±8 | 30% ±14 | 43 | 2% ±2 | 20% ±11 | 42% ±23 | 58% ±34 | 5.3d | 4.25% | 1.21% | 318 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,147.08 (+3.6%) | 6.1 | 0.7% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 16% ±6 | 48% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 46% ±11 | 82 | 1% ±1 | 16% ±6 | 33% ±14 | 50% ±22 | > 7d | 2.12% | 1.99% | 785 → 19 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,128.77–2,129.63 (+2.7%) | 4.6 | 2.8% | 22h | 1.3d ago · 104× | 19% ±10 | 43% ±10 | 12% ±7 | 45% ±10 | 95 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±10 | 36% ±22 | 50% ±35 | 5.4d | 2.11% | 1.44% | 348 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 2,118.63–2,129.62 (+2.2%) | 3.8 | 2.7% | 19h | 7.8d ago · 82× | 29% ±10 | 51% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 27% ±10 | 78 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±10 | 46% ±20 | 56% ±31 | 4.4d | 1.95% | 1.87% | 430 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,096.5 (+1.2%) | 2.0 | 0.7% | 2h | 5.3d ago · 56× | 52% ±22 | 49% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 19% ±7 | 52% ±22 | 67% ±38 | 77% ±48 | 22h | 2.38% | 1.83% | 116 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,072.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,062.9 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 0.1% | 19m | 5.3d ago · 58× | 66% ±16 | 44% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 51% ±13 | 56 | 51% ±7 | 66% ±16 | 71% ±27 | 77% ±37 | 4h | 2.40% | 1.85% | 197 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 2,072.24 | 2,129.63 | 2,022.47 | stop | +3.54% |