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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-23 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,421 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,397.59 (+11.7%) | 17 | 0.7% | 2h | 19.5d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 44% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±9 | 28% ±21 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.48% | 696 → 17 | |
| 30D POC | 2,316.56 (+8.0%) | 11 | 6.0% | 2.5d | 1.2d ago · 67× | 4% ±5 | 40% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 47% ±12 | 65 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 12% ±14 | 26% ±31 | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.25% | 333 → 8 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,269.42 (+5.8%) | 8.3 | 3.2% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 70× | 9% ±5 | 52% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 43% ±13 | 60 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 27% ±13 | 45% ±22 | > 7d | 2.39% | 1.29% | 844 → 20 | |
| HVN zone | 2,260.47–2,339.42 (+5.4%) | 7.7 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 7.7d ago · 82× | 10% ±7 | 51% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 27% ±10 | 79 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 24% ±17 | 40% ±29 | > 7d | 1.95% | 1.85% | 453 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,227.23 (+3.8%) | 5.5 | 0.9% | 9h | 103.5d ago · 18× | 7% ±9 | 40% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 15% ±22 | 27% ±44 | > 7d | 2.43% | 2.10% | 175 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 2,152.43–2,169.05 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 0.4% | 60m | 11.0d ago · 49× | 72% ±20 | 61% ±15 | 9% ±8 | 30% ±14 | 43 | 53% ±9 | 72% ±20 | 83% ±30 | 91% ±33 | 3h | 4.25% | 1.21% | 114 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,148.07 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 0.8% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 85% ±13 | 48% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 46% ±11 | 82 | 74% ±7 | 85% ±13 | 92% ±17 | 94% ±23 | 1h | 2.12% | 1.99% | 170 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,145.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,115.04–2,131.66 (-0.6%) | 0.9 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 2.7d ago · 84× | 82% ±10 | 44% ±10 | 22% ±8 | 34% ±10 | 92 | 60% ±5 | 82% ±10 | 87% ±16 | 91% ±19 | 2h | 1.91% | 1.65% | 315 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,128.84–2,129.96 (-0.7%) | 1.0 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 80% ±10 | 49% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 116 | 59% ±5 | 80% ±10 | 88% ±14 | 93% ±17 | 2h | 2.06% | 1.50% | 387 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,090.88 (-2.6%) | 3.7 | 0.7% | 1h | 5.1d ago · 84× | 34% ±9 | 60% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±10 | 89 | 8% ±2 | 34% ±9 | 59% ±16 | 71% ±22 | 1.9d | 2.60% | 1.48% | 669 → 16 | |
| LVN zone | 2,081.79–2,085.95 (-2.8%) | 4.0 | 0.5% | 57m | 14.5d ago · 46× | 31% ±14 | 55% ±15 | 11% ±10 | 34% ±15 | 41 | 5% ±3 | 31% ±14 | 52% ±26 | 56% ±40 | 2.5d | 2.58% | 1.78% | 253 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,018.25 (-5.9%) | 8.5 | 0.2% | 18m | 5.2d ago · 58× | 9% ±5 | 43% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 52% ±13 | 57 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 29% ±14 | 51% ±23 | 6.6d | 2.39% | 1.92% | 766 → 18 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 2,145.59 | 2,129.96 | 2,080.58 | target | -2.50% |
| 14d | POC | long | 2,145.59 | 2,269.42 | 2,018.25 | expired | -2.50% |