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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-06-09 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,373.1 (+40.8%) | 36 | 0.3% | 1h | 19.6d ago · 44× | 0% ±1 | 44% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 3% ±11 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.48% | 432 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,133.3 (+26.6%) | 23 | 3.5% | 1.6d | 1.6d ago · 70× | 1% ±2 | 52% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 43% ±13 | 60 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 6% ±16 | > 7d | 2.39% | 1.29% | 363 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 2,122.79 (+25.9%) | 23 | 4.4% | 1.9d | 1.4d ago · 67× | 0% ±2 | 40% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 47% ±12 | 65 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 4% ±16 | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.25% | 238 → 6 | |
| 14D POC | 2,015.63 (+19.6%) | 17 | 2.6% | 1.4d | 1.4d ago · 79× | 1% ±3 | 37% ±11 | 16% ±8 | 47% ±11 | 80 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 18% ±31 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.32% | 247 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 1,969.09–2,030.57 (+16.8%) | 15 | 1.4% | 6h | 7.9d ago · 82× | 5% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 27% ±10 | 83 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 9% ±14 | 20% ±30 | > 7d | 1.95% | 1.68% | 309 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 1,784.65–1,791.88 (+5.9%) | 5.1 | 1.1% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 97× | 18% ±6 | 48% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 84 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±6 | 33% ±14 | 47% ±22 | 6.1d | 2.31% | 1.89% | 813 → 19 | |
| LVN zone | 1,705.6–1,731.95 (+1.2%) | 1.0 | 0.5% | 2h | 11.1d ago · 49× | 65% ±16 | 62% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 30% ±13 | 50 | 36% ±6 | 66% ±15 | 77% ±24 | 87% ±30 | 11h | 3.51% | 0.92% | 213 → 5 | |
| at post · 1,685.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 1,680.05 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.8% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 106× | 90% ±8 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 120 | 79% ±5 | 90% ±8 | 93% ±13 | 97% ±13 | 1h | 2.08% | 1.49% | 293 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,668.98 (-1.0%) | 0.9 | 1.8% | 9h | 1.1d ago · 59× | 66% ±15 | 43% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 52% ±13 | 60 | 50% ±7 | 67% ±15 | 73% ±25 | 78% ±36 | 5h | 2.21% | 1.94% | 220 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 1,591.43–1,600.21 (-5.1%) | 4.4 | 1.4% | 4h | 2.9d ago · 84× | 32% ±11 | 44% ±10 | 22% ±8 | 34% ±10 | 93 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±11 | 53% ±21 | 68% ±30 | 2.4d | 1.90% | 1.67% | 390 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,538.39 (-8.7%) | 7.6 | 0.4% | 43m | 1.1d ago · 85× | 13% ±6 | 58% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 36% ±10 | 95 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 33% ±14 | 53% ±22 | 6.0d | 2.51% | 1.48% | 790 → 19 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 1,685.66 | 1,791.88 | 1,538.39 | expired | -3.59% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 1,685.66 | 2,015.63 | 1,585.4 | expired | -3.59% |