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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-09 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,409 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 1,793.21 (+3.0%) | 4.3 | 2.4% | 20h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 27% ±8 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 91 | 4% ±1 | 27% ±8 | 45% ±15 | 66% ±21 | 3.6d | 2.29% | 1.84% | 799 → 19 | |
| 7D POC | 1,771.59 (+1.8%) | 2.5 | 3.0% | 22h | 3.6d ago · 103× | 45% ±13 | 48% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 112 | 12% ±4 | 45% ±13 | 62% ±22 | 71% ±31 | 1.3d | 2.15% | 1.46% | 322 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 1,757.54–1,774.44 (+1.0%) | 1.4 | 2.5% | 22h | 7.3d ago · 82× | 67% ±12 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 26% ±9 | 94 | 36% ±5 | 67% ±12 | 80% ±18 | 83% ±24 | 9h | 2.07% | 1.60% | 361 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 1,744.03–1,746.02 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.1% | 22h | 2.2d ago · 69× | 85% ±13 | 49% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 42% ±12 | 66 | 69% ±7 | 86% ±13 | 89% ±20 | 93% ±25 | 1h | 2.15% | 1.37% | 166 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,740.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 1,729.2 (-0.7%) | 1.0 | 3.1% | 1.2d | 4.6d ago · 84× | 71% ±12 | 57% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 98 | 49% ±5 | 71% ±12 | 83% ±16 | 89% ±22 | 5h | 2.42% | 1.48% | 355 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 1,652.79–1,669.69 (-4.1%) | 5.9 | 2.6% | 23h | 2.3d ago · 84× | 21% ±9 | 45% ±10 | 22% ±8 | 33% ±9 | 104 | 4% ±2 | 21% ±9 | 40% ±19 | 56% ±29 | 4.9d | 1.92% | 1.72% | 458 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 1,598.73–1,605.48 (-7.8%) | 11 | 1.0% | 5h | 14.0d ago · 46× | 3% ±4 | 52% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 35% ±14 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±11 | 20% ±25 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.78% | 413 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 1,573.38–1,573.69 (-9.6%) | 14 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 1.3d ago · 84× | 2% ±3 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 98 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±10 | 26% ±26 | > 7d | 2.15% | 1.53% | 442 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,548.04 (-11.1%) | 16 | 0.9% | 3h | 20.6d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 9% ±8 | 23% ±18 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 873 → 21 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,517.31 (-12.8%) | 18 | <0.1% | 10m | 4.8d ago · 58× | 1% ±2 | 42% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 53% ±12 | 63 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 20% ±22 | > 7d | 2.21% | 1.97% | 560 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 1,740.79 | 1,573.69 | 1,787.19 | stop | -3.01% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 1,740.79 | 1,573.38 | 1,779.31 | stop | -3.01% |