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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-09 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,409 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 1,787.66 (+2.8%) | 4.2 | 2.2% | 15h | 1.6d ago · 97× | 28% ±8 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 91 | 4% ±1 | 28% ±8 | 46% ±15 | 67% ±21 | 3.5d | 2.29% | 1.84% | 789 → 19 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 1,747.41–1,749.25 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 3.0% | 20h | 2.3d ago · 69× | 82% ±12 | 49% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 42% ±12 | 66 | 61% ±6 | 83% ±12 | 88% ±18 | 93% ±23 | 2h | 2.15% | 1.37% | 223 → 5 | |
| at post · 1,738.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 1,737.35 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 93% ±7 | 49% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 42% ±8 | 133 | 83% ±4 | 93% ±7 | 95% ±10 | 98% ±10 | 1h | 2.09% | 1.37% | 302 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,730.98 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 4.7d ago · 84× | 80% ±11 | 57% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 98 | 57% ±6 | 80% ±11 | 88% ±16 | 92% ±21 | 3h | 2.42% | 1.48% | 284 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 1,656.17–1,666.31 (-4.1%) | 6.1 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 2.4d ago · 84× | 20% ±9 | 45% ±10 | 22% ±8 | 33% ±9 | 104 | 4% ±2 | 19% ±9 | 38% ±19 | 54% ±29 | 5.3d | 1.92% | 1.72% | 452 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 1,598.73–1,605.48 (-7.6%) | 11 | 1.0% | 5h | 14.1d ago · 46× | 3% ±4 | 52% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 35% ±14 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±11 | 20% ±25 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.78% | 414 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 1,573.38–1,573.69 (-9.5%) | 14 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 1.4d ago · 84× | 2% ±3 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 98 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±10 | 26% ±26 | > 7d | 2.15% | 1.53% | 443 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,548.04 (-10.9%) | 16 | 0.9% | 3h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 9% ±8 | 22% ±18 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 863 → 21 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,517.31 (-12.7%) | 19 | <0.1% | 10m | 4.9d ago · 58× | 1% ±2 | 42% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 53% ±12 | 63 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 20% ±22 | > 7d | 2.21% | 1.97% | 554 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 1,738.2 | 1,573.38 | 1,783.29 | stop | -3.36% |