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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-13 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,411 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.17 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 1,827.67–1,830.07 (+3.2%) | 4.3 | 0.8% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 25% ±7 | 49% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 93 | 4% ±1 | 25% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 66% ±21 | 3.7d | 2.12% | 1.52% | 801 → 19 | |
| 7D POC | 1,798.52 (+1.5%) | 2.1 | 3.3% | 1.3d | 3.8d ago · 103× | 52% ±14 | 47% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 113 | 16% ±4 | 52% ±14 | 70% ±22 | 79% ±30 | 23h | 2.15% | 1.46% | 291 → 7 | |
| 14D POC | 1,774.78 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 3.8d ago · 78× | 94% ±7 | 37% ±10 | 15% ±7 | 48% ±11 | 86 | 79% ±5 | 94% ±7 | 95% ±11 | 97% ±14 | 1h | 2.03% | 1.32% | 242 → 6 | |
| at post · 1,771.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 1,727.13–1,754.17 (-1.0%) | 1.3 | 2.9% | 22h | 2.5d ago · 84× | 70% ±12 | 47% ±9 | 22% ±8 | 32% ±9 | 108 | 42% ±5 | 70% ±12 | 81% ±18 | 88% ±23 | 7h | 1.93% | 1.63% | 342 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,753.12 (-1.0%) | 1.4 | 3.0% | 22h | 4.8d ago · 84× | 62% ±12 | 58% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 99 | 35% ±5 | 62% ±12 | 78% ±17 | 85% ±22 | 9h | 2.51% | 1.48% | 400 → 10 | |
| 30D POC | 1,735.58 (-2.0%) | 2.7 | 4.2% | 1.5d | 1.5d ago · 72× | 51% ±16 | 51% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 40% ±11 | 77 | 14% ±4 | 51% ±16 | 72% ±25 | 80% ±32 | 1.0d | 2.50% | 1.40% | 235 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,695.59 (-4.3%) | 5.8 | 1.7% | 13h | 5.0d ago · 58× | 14% ±6 | 42% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 53% ±12 | 63 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 38% ±14 | 61% ±22 | 4.5d | 2.21% | 1.97% | 792 → 19 | |
| LVN zone | 1,629.14–1,642.65 (-7.3%) | 9.8 | 1.0% | 4h | 14.2d ago · 46× | 5% ±5 | 52% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 35% ±14 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±5 | 12% ±13 | 22% ±26 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.78% | 416 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,632.52 (-7.8%) | 11 | 1.0% | 4h | 20.8d ago · 30× | 4% ±3 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 15% ±10 | 31% ±19 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 912 → 22 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 1,771.35 | 1,695.59 | 1,830.07 | stop | -5.04% |