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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-13 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,411 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.17 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 1,828.51–1,830.07 (+3.2%) | 4.1 | 0.8% | 5h | 1.1d ago · 97× | 27% ±8 | 49% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 94 | 4% ±1 | 27% ±8 | 47% ±15 | 67% ±21 | 3.5d | 2.15% | 1.56% | 794 → 19 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 1,772.75–1,775.48 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 3.8d ago · 103× | 92% ±7 | 42% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 113 | 79% ±4 | 92% ±7 | 94% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 2.07% | 1.36% | 319 → 8 | |
| at post · 1,771.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 1,758.54 (-0.7%) | 0.9 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 4.8d ago · 84× | 72% ±12 | 58% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 99 | 49% ±5 | 72% ±12 | 83% ±17 | 88% ±22 | 5h | 2.51% | 1.48% | 348 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 1,727.13–1,754.17 (-1.0%) | 1.2 | 3.1% | 23h | 2.4d ago · 84× | 74% ±11 | 47% ±9 | 22% ±8 | 32% ±9 | 108 | 48% ±5 | 74% ±11 | 84% ±17 | 89% ±22 | 5h | 1.93% | 1.63% | 350 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,704.56 (-3.8%) | 4.8 | 1.9% | 18h | 4.9d ago · 58× | 20% ±7 | 42% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 53% ±12 | 63 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 44% ±16 | 65% ±23 | 3.9d | 2.21% | 1.97% | 701 → 17 | |
| LVN zone | 1,629.14–1,642.65 (-7.2%) | 9.3 | 1.1% | 4h | 14.1d ago · 46× | 5% ±5 | 52% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 35% ±14 | 43 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 13% ±14 | 24% ±26 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.78% | 415 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,632.52 (-7.8%) | 10.0 | 1.1% | 5h | 20.8d ago · 30× | 4% ±3 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 16% ±10 | 32% ±20 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 889 → 21 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 1,771.05 | 1,758.54 | 1,829.02 | target | -5.76% |
| 14d | POC | short | 1,771.05 | 1,704.56 | 1,830.07 | stop | -5.76% |
| 30d | POC | short | 1,771.05 | 1,632.52 | 1,828.51 | stop | -5.76% |