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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-13 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,409 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 1,827.08–1,828.51 (+3.4%) | 3.9 | 1.1% | 7h | 1.6d ago · 97× | 30% ±8 | 49% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 94 | 5% ±2 | 30% ±8 | 50% ±15 | 69% ±21 | 3.0d | 2.15% | 1.56% | 761 → 18 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 1,772.75–1,775.48 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 5.1% | 1.5d | 3.6d ago · 103× | 89% ±8 | 42% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 113 | 72% ±5 | 89% ±8 | 93% ±11 | 95% ±14 | 1h | 2.07% | 1.36% | 370 → 9 | |
| at post · 1,766.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 1,755.83 (-0.6%) | 0.7 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 4.6d ago · 84× | 77% ±12 | 58% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 99 | 54% ±6 | 77% ±12 | 86% ±16 | 91% ±21 | 3h | 2.51% | 1.48% | 304 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,713.52 (-3.0%) | 3.4 | 2.3% | 16h | 4.8d ago · 58× | 29% ±10 | 42% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 53% ±12 | 63 | 7% ±2 | 29% ±10 | 50% ±18 | 67% ±27 | 3.0d | 2.21% | 1.97% | 514 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 1,629.14–1,642.65 (-7.0%) | 7.9 | 1.3% | 4h | 14.0d ago · 46× | 7% ±6 | 52% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 35% ±14 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 17% ±16 | 27% ±29 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.78% | 394 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,632.52 (-7.6%) | 8.5 | 1.3% | 5h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 6% ±4 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 19% ±11 | 35% ±21 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 818 → 19 | |
| HVN zone | 1,568.31–1,581.83 (-10.4%) | 12 | 4.2% | 1.6d | 2.3d ago · 84× | 3% ±5 | 47% ±9 | 22% ±8 | 32% ±9 | 108 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 13% ±15 | 23% ±28 | > 7d | 1.93% | 1.63% | 371 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 1,766.25 | 1,632.52 | 1,828.51 | stop | -6.14% |