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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-16 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 1,890.09–1,916.24 (+1.0%) | 1.3 | 0.5% | 3h | 10.3d ago · 49× | 59% ±15 | 62% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 31% ±13 | 52 | 30% ±6 | 59% ±15 | 72% ±24 | 85% ±29 | 16h | 3.39% | 0.98% | 231 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,873.43 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.2% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 97× | 87% ±12 | 50% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 45% ±10 | 95 | 75% ±6 | 87% ±12 | 93% ±16 | 95% ±22 | 1h | 2.27% | 1.84% | 184 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,871.73 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 1,829.06–1,863.93 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 0.6% | 2h | 13.8d ago · 46× | 82% ±18 | 52% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 35% ±14 | 43 | 57% ±9 | 83% ±17 | 89% ±25 | 93% ±29 | 3h | 2.42% | 1.78% | 110 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,823.45 (-2.6%) | 3.3 | 0.9% | 9h | 11.3d ago · 55× | 38% ±17 | 54% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 9% ±4 | 38% ±17 | 63% ±29 | 75% ±38 | 1.8d | 2.02% | 1.91% | 195 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 1,724.45–1,802.91 (-3.7%) | 4.7 | 2.6% | 22h | 2.1d ago · 84× | 27% ±10 | 47% ±9 | 21% ±8 | 31% ±9 | 109 | 5% ±2 | 27% ±10 | 51% ±19 | 64% ±28 | 2.8d | 1.94% | 1.62% | 462 → 11 | |
| 7D POC | 1,801.19 (-3.8%) | 4.8 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 29% ±10 | 50% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 41% ±8 | 136 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±10 | 50% ±20 | 70% ±27 | 3.1d | 2.15% | 1.26% | 445 → 11 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 1,773.27–1,776.76 (-5.1%) | 6.5 | 4.2% | 1.3d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 15% ±8 | 46% ±10 | 12% ±6 | 42% ±10 | 100 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±8 | 35% ±18 | 58% ±29 | 5.6d | 1.83% | 1.59% | 462 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,725.95–1,731.1 (-7.5%) | 9.6 | 3.9% | 1.5d | 4.4d ago · 84× | 7% ±4 | 52% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 42% ±10 | 100 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±4 | 25% ±12 | 45% ±21 | > 7d | 2.40% | 1.66% | 877 → 21 | |
| 30D POC | 1,574.07 (-15.9%) | 20 | 4.6% | 1.6d | 1.7d ago · 72× | 2% ±3 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±8 | 13% ±22 | > 7d | 2.51% | 1.37% | 396 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,545.74 (-17.4%) | 22 | 1.0% | 3h | 20.5d ago · 30× | 1% ±2 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±7 | 16% ±18 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 711 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 1,871.73 | 1,801.19 | 1,899.05 | expired | +2.36% |