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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-16 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,409 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 1,946.75 (+3.7%) | 4.9 | <0.1% | 7m | 1.5d ago · 97× | 24% ±7 | 50% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 45% ±10 | 95 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±7 | 41% ±14 | 60% ±21 | 4.3d | 2.27% | 1.84% | 845 → 20 | |
| LVN zone | 1,890.09–1,916.24 (+0.6%) | 0.9 | 0.7% | 3h | 10.4d ago · 49× | 68% ±16 | 62% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 31% ±13 | 52 | 42% ±7 | 68% ±16 | 77% ±25 | 88% ±28 | 8h | 3.39% | 0.98% | 198 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 1,878.45 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.6% | 12h | 3.5d ago · 103× | 93% ±7 | 47% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 114 | 83% ±4 | 93% ±7 | 95% ±10 | 98% ±12 | 1h | 2.13% | 1.46% | 281 → 7 | |
| at post · 1,878.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 1,829.06–1,863.93 (-0.8%) | 1.0 | 0.6% | 2h | 13.9d ago · 46× | 73% ±17 | 52% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 35% ±14 | 43 | 46% ±8 | 73% ±17 | 84% ±24 | 88% ±32 | 5h | 2.42% | 1.78% | 160 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,816.47 (-3.3%) | 4.4 | 1.0% | 7h | 11.4d ago · 55× | 22% ±14 | 54% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 51 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±13 | 50% ±28 | 65% ±42 | 3.0d | 2.02% | 1.91% | 215 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 1,724.45–1,802.91 (-4.0%) | 5.4 | 2.4% | 21h | 2.2d ago · 84× | 24% ±9 | 47% ±9 | 21% ±8 | 31% ±9 | 109 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±9 | 44% ±19 | 58% ±29 | 4.5d | 1.94% | 1.62% | 470 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,791.25 (-4.6%) | 6.2 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 4.5d ago · 84× | 16% ±6 | 58% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 100 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±6 | 38% ±13 | 53% ±21 | 5.6d | 2.52% | 1.46% | 934 → 22 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 1,774.32–1,776.76 (-5.4%) | 7.3 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 12% ±7 | 46% ±10 | 12% ±6 | 42% ±10 | 100 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 31% ±18 | 53% ±29 | 6.1d | 1.83% | 1.59% | 472 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,727.06 (-8.0%) | 11 | 3.0% | 1.2d | 4.7d ago · 58× | 5% ±4 | 42% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 53% ±12 | 63 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 22% ±12 | 43% ±21 | > 7d | 2.21% | 1.97% | 861 → 21 | |
| 30D POC | 1,574.07 (-16.2%) | 22 | 4.4% | 1.5d | 1.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±3 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±8 | 12% ±21 | > 7d | 2.51% | 1.37% | 379 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,545.74 (-17.7%) | 24 | 0.9% | 3h | 20.6d ago · 30× | 1% ±2 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 16% ±18 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 651 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 1,878.09 | 1,791.25 | 1,946.75 | expired | +2.29% |