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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-30 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,411 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.17 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,951.9 (+1.6%) | 2.5 | 0.9% | 4h | 19.1d ago · 44× | 44% ±17 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 13% ±5 | 44% ±17 | 63% ±28 | 81% ±34 | 1.4d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 201 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,937.12 (+0.9%) | 1.3 | 2.2% | 13h | 1.1d ago · 70× | 74% ±13 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 75 | 47% ±6 | 74% ±13 | 82% ±20 | 87% ±27 | 5h | 2.29% | 1.32% | 250 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,929.03 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 3.1% | 21h | 1.1d ago · 97× | 79% ±12 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 101 | 61% ±6 | 79% ±12 | 90% ±15 | 95% ±16 | 2h | 2.29% | 1.69% | 285 → 7 | |
| 14D POC | 1,921.85 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.3% | 1.6d | 3.7d ago · 78× | 94% ±8 | 37% ±10 | 14% ±7 | 49% ±10 | 91 | 83% ±5 | 94% ±8 | 96% ±12 | 97% ±15 | 1h | 2.02% | 1.32% | 224 → 5 | |
| at post · 1,920.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 1,917.48 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 91% ±7 | 52% ±8 | 8% ±5 | 40% ±8 | 140 | 79% ±4 | 91% ±7 | 93% ±11 | 97% ±12 | 1h | 2.11% | 1.26% | 348 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 1,861.61–1,900.31 (-1.1%) | 1.6 | 2.3% | 12h | 2.4d ago · 84× | 63% ±12 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 114 | 30% ±5 | 63% ±12 | 79% ±18 | 87% ±22 | 12h | 1.95% | 1.58% | 363 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 1,876.66 (-2.3%) | 3.5 | 4.5% | 1.6d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 44% ±14 | 53% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 39% ±11 | 80 | 9% ±3 | 44% ±13 | 66% ±22 | 78% ±31 | 1.3d | 2.55% | 1.30% | 313 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,866.54 (-2.8%) | 4.3 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 4.7d ago · 84× | 26% ±7 | 59% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 102 | 4% ±1 | 26% ±7 | 50% ±14 | 62% ±21 | 3.0d | 2.52% | 1.46% | 881 → 21 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,859.91 (-3.2%) | 4.9 | 2.5% | 1.2d | 4.9d ago · 58× | 19% ±7 | 43% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 64 | 3% ±1 | 19% ±7 | 42% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 4.2d | 2.21% | 1.94% | 736 → 18 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,771.31 (-7.8%) | 12 | 3.0% | 23h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 3% ±2 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 12% ±9 | 27% ±18 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 985 → 23 | |
| LVN zone | 1,629.42–1,689.62 (-12.0%) | 18 | 0.3% | 57m | 14.1d ago · 46× | 0% ±1 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±7 | 8% ±19 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.78% | 328 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 1,920.77 | 1,859.91 | 1,937.12 | target | +3.08% |