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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-07-31 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,951.9 (+1.9%) | 3.1 | 0.8% | 3h | 18.9d ago · 44× | 38% ±15 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 7% ±3 | 37% ±15 | 58% ±27 | 76% ±34 | 1.7d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 242 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,937.12 (+1.1%) | 1.8 | 2.1% | 12h | 2.1d ago · 69× | 65% ±15 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 75 | 31% ±6 | 66% ±15 | 74% ±24 | 83% ±30 | 12h | 2.29% | 1.32% | 242 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,929.03 (+0.7%) | 1.1 | 2.9% | 20h | 1.4d ago · 97× | 70% ±11 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 101 | 48% ±5 | 71% ±11 | 84% ±16 | 92% ±18 | 5h | 2.29% | 1.69% | 369 → 9 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,917.48–1,921.85 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 3.5d ago · 103× | 92% ±7 | 43% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 120 | 78% ±5 | 92% ±7 | 95% ±10 | 97% ±13 | 1h | 2.07% | 1.40% | 307 → 7 | |
| at post · 1,916.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 1,861.61–1,900.31 (-0.8%) | 1.4 | 2.1% | 12h | 2.2d ago · 84× | 71% ±11 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 114 | 40% ±5 | 71% ±11 | 82% ±16 | 89% ±21 | 7h | 1.95% | 1.58% | 371 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 1,876.66 (-2.1%) | 3.4 | 4.1% | 1.5d | 1.8d ago · 72× | 46% ±14 | 53% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 39% ±11 | 80 | 10% ±3 | 46% ±14 | 68% ±22 | 78% ±31 | 1.3d | 2.55% | 1.30% | 303 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,867.9 (-2.5%) | 4.1 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 4.5d ago · 84× | 28% ±7 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 103 | 5% ±1 | 28% ±7 | 52% ±14 | 64% ±21 | 2.8d | 2.52% | 1.44% | 869 → 21 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,861.71 (-2.8%) | 4.7 | 2.4% | 1.0d | 4.7d ago · 58× | 20% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 65 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 43% ±16 | 63% ±23 | 4.1d | 2.21% | 1.92% | 702 → 17 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,771.31 (-7.6%) | 12 | 2.8% | 21h | 20.6d ago · 30× | 3% ±2 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 11% ±8 | 26% ±17 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 990 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 1,633.72–1,689.62 (-11.8%) | 19 | 0.3% | 53m | 13.9d ago · 46× | 0% ±2 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 8% ±20 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.78% | 301 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 1,916.09 | 1,917.48 | 1,940.03 | target | +2.72% |