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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-01 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,953.01 (+4.5%) | 9.9 | 0.6% | 2h | 18.8d ago · 44× | 5% ±4 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 19% ±12 | 42% ±22 | > 7d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 785 → 19 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,936.85 (+3.7%) | 8.0 | 1.6% | 9h | 2.0d ago · 69× | 9% ±4 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 76 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±4 | 27% ±12 | 45% ±20 | > 7d | 2.29% | 1.29% | 958 → 23 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,928.11 (+3.2%) | 7.0 | 2.4% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 12% ±5 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 102 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±5 | 28% ±12 | 44% ±20 | > 7d | 2.32% | 1.68% | 977 → 23 | |
| 14D POC | 1,921.56 (+2.8%) | 6.2 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 78× | 10% ±7 | 38% ±10 | 14% ±7 | 48% ±10 | 92 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 21% ±17 | 32% ±30 | > 7d | 2.03% | 1.32% | 390 → 9 | |
| 7D POC | 1,916.66 (+2.6%) | 5.7 | 2.8% | 21h | 3.4d ago · 103× | 15% ±8 | 48% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 121 | 3% ±1 | 15% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 48% ±30 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.46% | 449 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 1,905.89–1,931.26 (+2.0%) | 4.4 | 2.0% | 12h | 7.1d ago · 82× | 24% ±9 | 55% ±10 | 19% ±8 | 25% ±9 | 100 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±9 | 43% ±18 | 55% ±27 | 4.7d | 2.00% | 1.55% | 547 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 1,878.71 (+0.5%) | 1.2 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 3.7d ago · 66× | 79% ±13 | 40% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 47% ±12 | 69 | 54% ±6 | 78% ±13 | 91% ±16 | 95% ±18 | 4h | 1.95% | 1.25% | 242 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,868.84 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.8% | 1.2d | 4.6d ago · 56× | 92% ±12 | 49% ±13 | 7% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 58 | 79% ±7 | 92% ±12 | 92% ±21 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 2.01% | 1.73% | 115 → 3 | |
| at post · 1,868.45 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 1,868.4 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.8% | 1.2d | 4.6d ago · 58× | 87% ±15 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 65 | 80% ±7 | 87% ±15 | 88% ±26 | 89% ±36 | 1h | 2.21% | 1.92% | 114 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 1,768.17–1,797.16 (-3.8%) | 8.4 | 1.9% | 17h | 2.1d ago · 84× | 8% ±6 | 49% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 116 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 23% ±16 | 36% ±28 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.58% | 472 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,782.66 (-4.6%) | 10 | 2.2% | 17h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 15% ±10 | 31% ±19 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 927 → 22 | |
| LVN zone | 1,710.18–1,713.8 (-8.3%) | 18 | 0.4% | 2h | 13.8d ago · 46× | 0% ±1 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 9% ±19 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.78% | 345 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 1,868.45 | 1,809.17 | 1,916.66 | expired | +0.06% |