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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-01 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,953.02 (+4.5%) | 11 | 0.5% | 2h | 18.9d ago · 44× | 3% ±3 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±11 | 37% ±21 | > 7d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 833 → 20 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,936.85 (+3.7%) | 9.2 | 1.4% | 8h | 2.1d ago · 69× | 8% ±4 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 76 | 0% ±0 | 8% ±4 | 25% ±11 | 41% ±20 | > 7d | 2.29% | 1.29% | 1005 → 24 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,928.11 (+3.2%) | 8.1 | 2.1% | 14h | 1.4d ago · 97× | 8% ±4 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 102 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 23% ±12 | 39% ±20 | > 7d | 2.32% | 1.68% | 913 → 22 | |
| 14D POC | 1,921.56 (+2.8%) | 7.2 | 2.8% | 24h | 3.4d ago · 78× | 7% ±6 | 38% ±10 | 14% ±7 | 48% ±10 | 92 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 18% ±16 | 29% ±28 | > 7d | 2.03% | 1.32% | 417 → 10 | |
| 7D POC | 1,916.66 (+2.6%) | 6.5 | 2.5% | 18h | 3.4d ago · 103× | 12% ±8 | 48% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 121 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±8 | 30% ±18 | 46% ±31 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.46% | 436 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 1,907.94–1,930.48 (+2.1%) | 5.3 | 1.7% | 10h | 7.1d ago · 82× | 19% ±8 | 55% ±10 | 19% ±8 | 25% ±9 | 100 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±8 | 38% ±17 | 52% ±27 | 6.6d | 2.00% | 1.55% | 561 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 1,877.35 (+0.5%) | 1.2 | 2.9% | 23h | 3.8d ago · 66× | 79% ±13 | 40% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 47% ±12 | 69 | 53% ±6 | 78% ±13 | 91% ±16 | 95% ±18 | 4h | 1.95% | 1.25% | 242 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,868.4 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 20.4d ago · 46× | 93% ±14 | 44% ±14 | 8% ±7 | 48% ±14 | 49 | 84% ±8 | 94% ±13 | 96% ±19 | 96% ±27 | 1h | 2.30% | 1.79% | 75 → 2 | |
| at post · 1,868.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 1,867.49 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.5% | 1.2d | 4.4d ago · 84× | 89% ±11 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 103 | 71% ±6 | 89% ±11 | 93% ±15 | 94% ±20 | 1h | 2.52% | 1.44% | 194 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 1,769.48–1,795.24 (-3.9%) | 9.9 | 1.7% | 15h | 2.1d ago · 84× | 6% ±5 | 49% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 116 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 18% ±15 | 30% ±28 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.58% | 434 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,782.36 (-4.6%) | 12 | 1.9% | 15h | 20.5d ago · 30× | 3% ±2 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 12% ±9 | 28% ±18 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 987 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 1,705.08–1,724.4 (-7.7%) | 19 | 0.4% | 2h | 13.8d ago · 46× | 0% ±2 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 8% ±20 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.78% | 309 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 1,868.35 | 1,916.66 | 1,856.58 | stop | -0.66% |