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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-01 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,955.84 (+4.7%) | 16 | 0.3% | 1h | 18.9d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±8 | 26% ±19 | > 7d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 880 → 21 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,937.15 (+3.7%) | 13 | 1.0% | 6h | 2.1d ago · 69× | 5% ±3 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 76 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 18% ±11 | 28% ±19 | > 7d | 2.29% | 1.29% | 920 → 22 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,929.46 (+3.3%) | 11 | 1.4% | 9h | 1.4d ago · 97× | 4% ±4 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 102 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 16% ±11 | 27% ±20 | > 7d | 2.32% | 1.68% | 762 → 18 | |
| 14D POC | 1,922.43 (+2.9%) | 9.9 | 2.2% | 18h | 3.5d ago · 78× | 4% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 14% ±7 | 48% ±10 | 92 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±5 | 11% ±13 | 22% ±26 | > 7d | 2.03% | 1.32% | 420 → 10 | |
| 7D POC | 1,916.66 (+2.6%) | 8.9 | 1.9% | 14h | 3.5d ago · 103× | 9% ±7 | 48% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 121 | 2% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 25% ±19 | 42% ±32 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.46% | 386 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 1,912.23–1,932.58 (+2.4%) | 8.1 | 1.3% | 10h | 7.2d ago · 82× | 10% ±6 | 55% ±10 | 19% ±8 | 25% ±9 | 100 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 23% ±15 | 36% ±26 | > 7d | 2.00% | 1.55% | 541 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 1,872.99 (+0.3%) | 0.9 | 2.1% | 19h | 3.8d ago · 66× | 85% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 47% ±12 | 69 | 64% ±6 | 84% ±11 | 92% ±14 | 95% ±17 | 2h | 1.95% | 1.25% | 250 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 1,868.47–1,870.18 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.0% | 23h | 4.7d ago · 56× | 90% ±12 | 47% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 76% ±7 | 90% ±12 | 94% ±17 | 95% ±25 | 1h | 2.15% | 1.75% | 143 → 3 | |
| at post · 1,867.93 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 1,833.74–1,839.56 (-1.5%) | 5.2 | 0.4% | 5h | 13.9d ago · 46× | 22% ±12 | 51% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±23 | 50% ±37 | 7.0d | 2.34% | 1.78% | 298 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 1,769.79–1,790.14 (-4.2%) | 14 | 1.3% | 10h | 2.2d ago · 84× | 3% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 116 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 11% ±14 | 17% ±26 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.58% | 351 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,787.23 (-4.3%) | 15 | 1.4% | 10h | 20.5d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 22% ±17 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 1003 → 24 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 1,867.93 | 1,799.25 | 1,922.43 | expired | +0.30% |