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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-04 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,946.96 (+4.3%) | 6.4 | 1.2% | 7h | 18.9d ago · 44× | 11% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±6 | 26% ±15 | 47% ±26 | > 7d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 599 → 14 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,936.81 (+3.7%) | 5.6 | 2.4% | 13h | 2.1d ago · 69× | 15% ±6 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 76 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±6 | 36% ±15 | 55% ±24 | 5.9d | 2.29% | 1.29% | 725 → 17 | |
| 14D POC | 1,921.48 (+2.9%) | 4.4 | 4.8% | 1.6d | 3.5d ago · 78× | 21% ±11 | 38% ±10 | 14% ±7 | 48% ±10 | 92 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±11 | 34% ±22 | 44% ±34 | > 7d | 2.03% | 1.32% | 323 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,914.54 (+2.5%) | 3.8 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 97× | 32% ±8 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 102 | 5% ±1 | 31% ±8 | 52% ±15 | 72% ±20 | 2.7d | 2.32% | 1.68% | 801 → 19 | |
| HVN zone | 1,909.22–1,930.79 (+2.2%) | 3.4 | 2.9% | 18h | 7.1d ago · 82× | 34% ±10 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 101 | 7% ±2 | 34% ±10 | 52% ±18 | 61% ±26 | 2.7d | 1.96% | 1.56% | 530 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 1,872.83 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 5.5% | 2.0d | 3.8d ago · 66× | 86% ±12 | 41% ±11 | 14% ±8 | 46% ±12 | 71 | 70% ±6 | 86% ±11 | 93% ±14 | 95% ±18 | 1h | 1.91% | 1.25% | 213 → 5 | |
| at post · 1,867.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 1,862.57–1,866.41 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.3% | 2.2d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 88% ±9 | 49% ±8 | 7% ±4 | 44% ±8 | 141 | 77% ±5 | 88% ±9 | 91% ±13 | 93% ±17 | 1h | 2.13% | 1.49% | 318 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,850.76 (-0.9%) | 1.3 | 2.3% | 13h | 4.5d ago · 84× | 63% ±11 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 106 | 36% ±5 | 63% ±11 | 79% ±17 | 85% ±22 | 9h | 2.42% | 1.46% | 412 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 1,831.05–1,836.44 (-1.7%) | 2.5 | 1.4% | 10h | 13.9d ago · 46× | 52% ±16 | 52% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 37% ±13 | 49 | 16% ±5 | 53% ±16 | 69% ±25 | 73% ±36 | 23h | 2.35% | 1.78% | 231 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,801.4 (-3.5%) | 5.3 | 2.4% | 19h | 20.5d ago · 30× | 12% ±7 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 31% ±16 | 44% ±26 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 590 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 1,777.14–1,782.53 (-4.5%) | 6.9 | 3.0% | 22h | 2.1d ago · 84× | 11% ±7 | 49% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 116 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 29% ±17 | 42% ±28 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.58% | 513 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 1,867.37 | 1,914.54 | 1,850.76 | expired | -0.05% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 1,867.37 | 1,921.48 | 1,849.21 | expired | -0.05% |