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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-04 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,946.96 (+4.8%) | 7.4 | 1.2% | 6h | 18.7d ago · 44× | 8% ±5 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 23% ±13 | 45% ±24 | > 7d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 716 → 17 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,931.97 (+4.0%) | 6.2 | 2.8% | 16h | 2.0d ago · 69× | 13% ±6 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 76 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 34% ±14 | 52% ±22 | 6.5d | 2.29% | 1.29% | 808 → 19 | |
| 14D POC | 1,921.48 (+3.5%) | 5.3 | 4.7% | 1.6d | 3.3d ago · 78× | 13% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 14% ±7 | 48% ±10 | 92 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±8 | 27% ±19 | 36% ±31 | > 7d | 2.03% | 1.32% | 374 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,914.54 (+3.1%) | 4.8 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 1.2d ago · 97× | 24% ±7 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 102 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 62% ±21 | 3.9d | 2.32% | 1.68% | 898 → 21 | |
| HVN zone | 1,909.22–1,930.79 (+2.8%) | 4.3 | 2.8% | 17h | 7.0d ago · 82× | 25% ±9 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 102 | 3% ±1 | 25% ±9 | 43% ±17 | 55% ±27 | 4.7d | 1.96% | 1.55% | 553 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 1,872.83 (+0.8%) | 1.3 | 5.3% | 2.0d | 3.7d ago · 66× | 77% ±13 | 41% ±11 | 14% ±8 | 46% ±12 | 71 | 49% ±6 | 77% ±13 | 91% ±16 | 95% ±18 | 5h | 1.91% | 1.25% | 233 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 1,866.41 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 5.2% | 2.2d | 3.3d ago · 103× | 85% ±8 | 48% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 121 | 68% ±5 | 85% ±8 | 91% ±12 | 94% ±14 | 1h | 2.11% | 1.46% | 406 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,859.34 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.3% | 1.8d | 20.2d ago · 46× | 90% ±15 | 44% ±13 | 9% ±8 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 78% ±8 | 91% ±14 | 94% ±21 | 94% ±34 | 1h | 2.21% | 1.76% | 94 → 2 | |
| at post · 1,857.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 1,850.76 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.2% | 13h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 82% ±11 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 106 | 60% ±6 | 82% ±11 | 89% ±16 | 91% ±21 | 2h | 2.42% | 1.46% | 288 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 1,831.05–1,836.44 (-1.1%) | 1.7 | 1.4% | 10h | 13.7d ago · 46× | 64% ±17 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 26% ±6 | 64% ±17 | 76% ±27 | 81% ±39 | 13h | 2.34% | 1.73% | 185 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,801.4 (-3.0%) | 4.6 | 2.4% | 18h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 17% ±8 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 3% ±1 | 17% ±8 | 37% ±18 | 49% ±28 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 511 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 1,777.14–1,782.53 (-4.0%) | 6.2 | 2.9% | 21h | 2.0d ago · 84× | 17% ±8 | 49% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 116 | 3% ±1 | 17% ±8 | 36% ±18 | 50% ±27 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.58% | 528 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 1,857.25 | 1,784.62 | 1,921.48 | expired | -0.63% |