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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-04 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,946.96 (+3.9%) | 6.0 | 1.2% | 6h | 18.7d ago · 44× | 13% ±7 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 29% ±16 | 49% ±27 | > 7d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 532 → 13 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,931.97 (+3.1%) | 4.8 | 2.8% | 16h | 2.0d ago · 69× | 20% ±8 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 76 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±8 | 42% ±17 | 63% ±25 | 4.0d | 2.29% | 1.29% | 601 → 14 | |
| 14D POC | 1,921.48 (+2.5%) | 3.9 | 4.7% | 1.6d | 3.3d ago · 78× | 25% ±12 | 38% ±10 | 14% ±7 | 48% ±10 | 92 | 5% ±2 | 25% ±12 | 39% ±23 | 50% ±37 | > 7d | 2.03% | 1.32% | 308 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,914.54 (+2.1%) | 3.3 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 1.2d ago · 97× | 37% ±9 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 102 | 7% ±2 | 37% ±9 | 58% ±15 | 76% ±20 | 1.8d | 2.32% | 1.68% | 725 → 17 | |
| HVN zone | 1,909.22–1,930.79 (+1.9%) | 2.9 | 2.8% | 17h | 7.0d ago · 82× | 41% ±11 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 102 | 11% ±3 | 41% ±11 | 59% ±18 | 67% ±27 | 1.5d | 1.96% | 1.55% | 496 → 12 | |
| at post · 1,874.31 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 1,868.73–1,872.83 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.5% | 2.0d | 1.6d ago · 106× | 89% ±8 | 52% ±8 | 8% ±5 | 40% ±8 | 141 | 74% ±4 | 89% ±8 | 93% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 2.24% | 1.31% | 388 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,860.96 (-0.7%) | 1.1 | 4.5% | 1.8d | 4.5d ago · 58× | 64% ±14 | 43% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±12 | 67 | 44% ±6 | 64% ±14 | 72% ±22 | 79% ±30 | 6h | 2.21% | 1.92% | 285 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,850.76 (-1.3%) | 2.0 | 2.3% | 13h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 50% ±11 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 106 | 22% ±4 | 50% ±11 | 71% ±18 | 80% ±24 | 1.1d | 2.42% | 1.46% | 453 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 1,831.05–1,836.44 (-2.0%) | 3.1 | 1.4% | 10h | 13.7d ago · 46× | 42% ±15 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 10% ±4 | 42% ±15 | 60% ±25 | 63% ±39 | 1.5d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 264 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,804.1 (-3.7%) | 5.8 | 2.1% | 15h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 11% ±6 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±6 | 28% ±15 | 42% ±25 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 635 → 15 | |
| HVN zone | 1,777.14–1,782.53 (-4.9%) | 7.6 | 2.9% | 21h | 2.0d ago · 84× | 9% ±6 | 49% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 116 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 25% ±16 | 39% ±28 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.58% | 493 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 1,874.31 | 1,946.96 | 1,804.1 | expired | +0.05% |