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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-05 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,946.96 (+3.8%) | 6.9 | 1.0% | 6h | 18.8d ago · 44× | 9% ±5 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 24% ±14 | 46% ±24 | > 7d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 658 → 16 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,920.67 (+2.4%) | 4.4 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 2.0d ago · 69× | 24% ±9 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 76 | 5% ±2 | 24% ±9 | 46% ±18 | 68% ±25 | 3.5d | 2.29% | 1.29% | 553 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 1,906.53–1,933.48 (+1.7%) | 3.0 | 2.5% | 15h | 7.0d ago · 82× | 39% ±11 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 102 | 9% ±3 | 39% ±10 | 58% ±18 | 66% ±27 | 1.8d | 1.96% | 1.55% | 504 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,897.14 (+1.2%) | 2.1 | 2.3% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 50% ±11 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 102 | 17% ±3 | 50% ±11 | 68% ±18 | 84% ±22 | 1.0d | 2.32% | 1.68% | 456 → 11 | |
| at post · 1,875.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,868.22–1,872.83 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.7% | 2.1d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 87% ±8 | 50% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 39% ±8 | 142 | 70% ±4 | 87% ±8 | 92% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 2.14% | 1.39% | 429 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,852.89 (-1.2%) | 2.1 | 2.4% | 15h | 4.5d ago · 58× | 37% ±12 | 42% ±12 | 6% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 68 | 13% ±3 | 37% ±12 | 55% ±22 | 69% ±30 | 2.4d | 2.19% | 1.86% | 368 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,838 (-2.0%) | 3.6 | 1.4% | 10h | 4.4d ago · 84× | 32% ±8 | 58% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 107 | 7% ±2 | 32% ±8 | 56% ±15 | 67% ±21 | 2.3d | 2.33% | 1.44% | 800 → 19 | |
| LVN zone | 1,831.05–1,833.75 (-2.2%) | 4.0 | 1.0% | 6h | 13.7d ago · 46× | 34% ±14 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 6% ±3 | 34% ±14 | 54% ±24 | 58% ±37 | 2.3d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 280 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,817.57 (-3.1%) | 5.5 | 1.1% | 7h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 11% ±6 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±6 | 29% ±15 | 43% ±25 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 618 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 1,875.22 | 1,897.14 | 1,838 | target | +1.22% |
| 14d | POC | long | 1,875.22 | 1,920.67 | 1,852.89 | target | +1.22% |
| 30d | POC | long | 1,875.22 | 1,946.96 | 1,817.57 | expired | +1.22% |