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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-05 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,946.96 (+2.8%) | 4.8 | 1.1% | 6h | 18.7d ago · 44× | 20% ±10 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±10 | 39% ±20 | 57% ±31 | 5.4d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 400 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,917.44 (+1.2%) | 2.1 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 2.0d ago · 69× | 61% ±15 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±11 | 76 | 26% ±5 | 61% ±15 | 71% ±24 | 81% ±31 | 15h | 2.29% | 1.29% | 250 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 1,909.22–1,933.48 (+0.8%) | 1.3 | 2.6% | 15h | 7.0d ago · 82× | 70% ±11 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 102 | 40% ±5 | 70% ±11 | 81% ±17 | 84% ±24 | 7h | 1.96% | 1.55% | 391 → 9 | |
| at post · 1,894.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 1,891.35 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.8% | 12h | 2.0d ago · 64× | 92% ±12 | 43% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 66 | 76% ±8 | 92% ±12 | 93% ±18 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 1.78% | 2.15% | 121 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,868.22–1,872.83 (-1.2%) | 2.0 | 6.3% | 2.3d | 1.6d ago · 106× | 52% ±12 | 50% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 39% ±8 | 142 | 17% ±4 | 52% ±12 | 72% ±19 | 83% ±24 | 22h | 2.14% | 1.39% | 373 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,852.89 (-2.2%) | 3.8 | 2.5% | 16h | 4.5d ago · 58× | 26% ±9 | 42% ±12 | 6% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 68 | 5% ±2 | 26% ±9 | 48% ±17 | 66% ±24 | 3.3d | 2.19% | 1.86% | 610 → 15 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,838 (-3.0%) | 5.2 | 1.4% | 11h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 21% ±6 | 58% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 107 | 2% ±1 | 21% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 58% ±20 | 4.5d | 2.33% | 1.44% | 961 → 23 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,822.97 (-3.8%) | 6.6 | 1.4% | 9h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 8% ±5 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 24% ±13 | 38% ±23 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 713 → 17 | |
| LVN zone | 1,752.88–1,763.66 (-6.9%) | 12 | 0.9% | 5h | 13.7d ago · 46× | 2% ±3 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±8 | 14% ±20 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 468 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 1,894.79 | 1,916.28 | 1,868.73 | target | +1.05% |