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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-07 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,938.87 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 1.6% | 8h | 18.8d ago · 44× | 87% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 61% ±7 | 87% ±12 | 90% ±20 | 96% ±19 | 2h | 1.78% | 1.51% | 168 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,931.26 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 1,898.44–1,930.79 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.4% | 13h | 2.1d ago · 84× | 92% ±8 | 49% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 117 | 80% ±5 | 92% ±8 | 94% ±13 | 96% ±16 | 1h | 1.94% | 1.54% | 239 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,917.44 (-0.7%) | 1.5 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 11.2d ago · 55× | 72% ±15 | 57% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 38% ±13 | 57 | 34% ±7 | 72% ±15 | 84% ±21 | 87% ±30 | 9h | 2.15% | 1.89% | 203 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,885.48 (-2.4%) | 5.0 | 3.4% | 22h | 2.1d ago · 64× | 17% ±12 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 67 | 3% ±2 | 17% ±12 | 43% ±27 | 61% ±39 | 3.7d | 1.86% | 2.12% | 232 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 1,872.83 (-3.0%) | 6.3 | 5.5% | 1.9d | 1.7d ago · 72× | 20% ±9 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 84 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±9 | 43% ±20 | 60% ±30 | 4.6d | 2.51% | 1.30% | 429 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 1,867.73–1,868.22 (-3.3%) | 6.8 | 5.4% | 2.3d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 17% ±8 | 50% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 39% ±8 | 143 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±8 | 37% ±18 | 59% ±28 | 5.1d | 2.02% | 1.39% | 508 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,852.89 (-4.1%) | 8.5 | 2.2% | 13h | 4.6d ago · 58× | 8% ±4 | 43% ±12 | 6% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 69 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 27% ±12 | 49% ±21 | > 7d | 2.21% | 1.80% | 920 → 22 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,841.83 (-4.6%) | 9.7 | 1.6% | 18h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 4% ±3 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 16% ±10 | 31% ±19 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 950 → 23 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,832.85 (-5.1%) | 11 | 0.9% | 4h | 4.4d ago · 84× | 6% ±4 | 58% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 107 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±4 | 20% ±12 | 37% ±22 | > 7d | 2.33% | 1.44% | 785 → 19 | |
| LVN zone | 1,750.19–1,766.36 (-8.5%) | 18 | 0.6% | 3h | 13.8d ago · 46× | 0% ±1 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 8% ±18 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 360 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 1,931.26 | 1,995.82 | 1,868.22 | expired | -0.67% |