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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-07 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 1,937.55 (+1.5%) | 3.1 | 1.8% | 10h | 18.9d ago · 44× | 35% ±15 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 7% ±3 | 36% ±15 | 55% ±26 | 70% ±36 | 1.9d | 1.78% | 1.51% | 251 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,917.44 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 2.1d ago · 69× | 81% ±12 | 55% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 40% ±11 | 77 | 58% ±6 | 81% ±12 | 87% ±18 | 91% ±23 | 2h | 2.29% | 1.26% | 255 → 6 | |
| at post · 1,908.56 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 1,896.49 (-0.6%) | 1.3 | 2.6% | 13h | 2.2d ago · 64× | 83% ±14 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 67 | 47% ±7 | 82% ±14 | 89% ±20 | 92% ±26 | 5h | 1.86% | 2.12% | 180 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 1,853.88–1,890.49 (-0.9%) | 2.0 | 2.6% | 11h | 2.2d ago · 84× | 57% ±13 | 49% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 117 | 21% ±4 | 57% ±13 | 76% ±19 | 84% ±25 | 18h | 1.94% | 1.54% | 353 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 1,873.49 (-1.8%) | 3.8 | 5.6% | 1.9d | 1.8d ago · 72× | 41% ±13 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 84 | 8% ±3 | 41% ±13 | 65% ±21 | 77% ±29 | 1.5d | 2.51% | 1.30% | 342 → 8 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 1,867.73–1,868.22 (-2.1%) | 4.4 | 5.5% | 2.3d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 32% ±10 | 50% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 39% ±8 | 143 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±10 | 56% ±19 | 72% ±27 | 2.2d | 2.02% | 1.39% | 470 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,852.89 (-2.9%) | 6.0 | 2.2% | 13h | 4.7d ago · 58× | 13% ±6 | 43% ±12 | 6% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 69 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 36% ±14 | 59% ±21 | 4.9d | 2.21% | 1.80% | 861 → 21 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,843.42 (-3.4%) | 7.0 | 1.7% | 21h | 20.6d ago · 30× | 7% ±5 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 22% ±13 | 36% ±22 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 753 → 18 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,826.73 (-4.3%) | 8.8 | 1.2% | 6h | 4.5d ago · 84× | 9% ±4 | 58% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 107 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 25% ±12 | 43% ±21 | > 7d | 2.33% | 1.44% | 908 → 22 | |
| LVN zone | 1,749.29–1,770.21 (-7.2%) | 15 | 0.8% | 5h | 13.9d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 8% ±17 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 436 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 1,908.56 | 1,868.22 | 1,929.06 | expired | -0.69% |