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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 1,943 (+2.0%) | 3.9 | 1.5% | 7h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 31% ±8 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 103 | 5% ±1 | 31% ±8 | 52% ±15 | 73% ±20 | 2.7d | 2.29% | 1.68% | 816 → 19 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,932.86 (+1.5%) | 2.9 | 2.6% | 13h | 18.7d ago · 44× | 39% ±15 | 43% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 10% ±4 | 40% ±15 | 59% ±26 | 74% ±35 | 1.7d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 248 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,927.35 (+1.2%) | 2.3 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 2.0d ago · 69× | 59% ±14 | 55% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 39% ±11 | 79 | 24% ±5 | 60% ±14 | 73% ±22 | 82% ±29 | 15h | 2.15% | 1.26% | 280 → 7 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,915.07–1,915.58 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 5.6% | 2.2d | 3.3d ago · 103× | 84% ±8 | 43% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 123 | 63% ±4 | 85% ±8 | 90% ±12 | 94% ±15 | 2h | 2.06% | 1.40% | 448 → 11 | |
| at post · 1,905.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 1,855.64–1,888.4 (-0.9%) | 1.7 | 3.2% | 16h | 2.0d ago · 84× | 61% ±12 | 50% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 31% ±8 | 118 | 27% ±5 | 61% ±12 | 76% ±19 | 85% ±23 | 14h | 1.94% | 1.53% | 367 → 9 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,867.7–1,873.19 (-1.7%) | 3.3 | 6.0% | 2.0d | 1.6d ago · 84× | 33% ±8 | 52% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 40% ±9 | 107 | 7% ±2 | 33% ±8 | 55% ±15 | 68% ±22 | 2.4d | 2.36% | 1.49% | 756 → 18 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,853.3 (-2.7%) | 5.3 | 2.5% | 15h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 12% ±6 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±6 | 30% ±15 | 43% ±25 | > 7d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 613 → 15 | |
| LVN zone | 1,790.12–1,797.14 (-5.7%) | 11 | 0.7% | 4h | 13.7d ago · 46× | 3% ±4 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 7% ±9 | 17% ±21 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 495 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 1,905.03 | 1,872.38 | 1,943 | target | +0.95% |
| 14d | POC | short | 1,905.03 | 1,867.7 | 1,927.35 | target | +0.95% |