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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-10 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 1,926.37–1,934.41 (+2.9%) | 4.8 | 5.1% | 1.5d | 1.2d ago · 97× | 19% ±6 | 51% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 42% ±10 | 103 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±6 | 39% ±13 | 58% ±20 | 5.0d | 2.11% | 1.49% | 969 → 23 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 1,914.99–1,915.78 (+2.3%) | 3.8 | 6.4% | 2.6d | 3.3d ago · 103× | 26% ±10 | 43% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 123 | 5% ±2 | 26% ±10 | 45% ±20 | 59% ±31 | 4.4d | 2.06% | 1.40% | 435 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 1,902.44–1,928.18 (+1.7%) | 2.7 | 4.1% | 1.1d | 7.0d ago · 82× | 43% ±11 | 54% ±10 | 21% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 104 | 12% ±3 | 43% ±11 | 61% ±18 | 69% ±26 | 1.4d | 1.95% | 1.55% | 485 → 12 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL | 1,873.19–1,874.24 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 7.2% | 2.4d | 3.7d ago · 66× | 90% ±10 | 44% ±11 | 11% ±7 | 44% ±11 | 73 | 78% ±6 | 90% ±10 | 94% ±15 | 96% ±19 | 1h | 1.84% | 1.39% | 185 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,871.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 1,868.8 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 7.1% | 2.7d | 4.5d ago · 58× | 84% ±14 | 43% ±12 | 6% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 69 | 72% ±7 | 84% ±14 | 86% ±23 | 87% ±33 | 1h | 2.21% | 1.80% | 157 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,853.3 (-1.0%) | 1.6 | 2.9% | 18h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 59% ±17 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 28% ±6 | 59% ±17 | 70% ±28 | 75% ±43 | 14h | 2.88% | 1.47% | 187 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 1,790.12–1,797.14 (-4.0%) | 6.5 | 0.8% | 5h | 13.7d ago · 46× | 13% ±9 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±9 | 27% ±19 | 36% ±31 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 364 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 1,871.38 | 1,869.94 | 1,915.78 | target | +0.39% |
| 30d | POC | short | 1,871.38 | 1,853.3 | 1,930.52 | target | +0.39% |