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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-11 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 1,927.09–1,928.18 (+3.4%) | 7.9 | 3.3% | 22h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 8% ±4 | 51% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 104 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 25% ±12 | 44% ±20 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.49% | 967 → 23 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,915.31–1,916.69 (+2.8%) | 6.4 | 4.7% | 1.9d | 3.4d ago · 103× | 10% ±7 | 42% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 124 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 26% ±17 | 42% ±29 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.39% | 452 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 1,902.44–1,928.18 (+2.1%) | 4.8 | 2.9% | 19h | 7.1d ago · 82× | 21% ±8 | 54% ±10 | 21% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 104 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±8 | 41% ±17 | 55% ±26 | 5.0d | 1.95% | 1.55% | 584 → 14 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,877.64 (+0.7%) | 1.7 | 5.1% | 1.7d | 4.6d ago · 56× | 59% ±19 | 48% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 42% ±12 | 61 | 22% ±7 | 59% ±19 | 69% ±30 | 77% ±42 | 16h | 1.97% | 1.55% | 156 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D POC | 1,869.57–1,873.19 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 5.4% | 2.0d | 3.7d ago · 66× | 81% ±12 | 42% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 46% ±11 | 73 | 57% ±6 | 81% ±12 | 90% ±15 | 92% ±21 | 3h | 1.89% | 1.45% | 263 → 6 | |
| at post · 1,863.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 1,855.64 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 2.8% | 21h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 71% ±17 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 45% ±8 | 71% ±17 | 78% ±27 | 80% ±40 | 6h | 2.88% | 1.47% | 159 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 1,808.84–1,815.86 (-2.6%) | 6.0 | 0.4% | 2h | 13.8d ago · 46× | 17% ±10 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 17% ±10 | 31% ±20 | 39% ±34 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 352 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 1,863.99 | 1,873.19 | 1,842.58 | target | +1.39% |