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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-11 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 1,927.09–1,928.18 (+2.4%) | 5.3 | 3.5% | 24h | 1.4d ago · 97× | 19% ±6 | 51% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 104 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±6 | 38% ±13 | 56% ±20 | 5.4d | 2.14% | 1.49% | 971 → 23 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,915.31–1,916.69 (+1.8%) | 3.9 | 4.9% | 2.0d | 3.5d ago · 103× | 24% ±10 | 42% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 124 | 4% ±2 | 24% ±10 | 43% ±20 | 57% ±31 | 4.9d | 2.07% | 1.39% | 440 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 1,902.44–1,928.18 (+1.1%) | 2.4 | 3.1% | 21h | 7.2d ago · 82× | 47% ±11 | 54% ±10 | 21% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 104 | 14% ±3 | 46% ±11 | 64% ±19 | 72% ±27 | 1.2d | 1.95% | 1.55% | 447 → 11 | |
| at post · 1,881.56 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 1,877.64 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 5.5% | 1.8d | 4.5d ago · 84× | 82% ±11 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 108 | 63% ±6 | 82% ±11 | 89% ±16 | 92% ±20 | 2h | 2.32% | 1.42% | 277 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 1,873.19 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 6.1% | 2.1d | 1.8d ago · 72× | 80% ±12 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 85 | 60% ±6 | 81% ±12 | 90% ±15 | 92% ±22 | 2h | 2.50% | 1.27% | 266 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,868.34 (-0.7%) | 1.5 | 5.6% | 2.2d | 4.7d ago · 58× | 54% ±14 | 44% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 70 | 30% ±5 | 55% ±14 | 67% ±22 | 75% ±32 | 14h | 2.19% | 1.79% | 314 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,855.64 (-1.4%) | 3.0 | 2.9% | 23h | 20.6d ago · 30× | 31% ±12 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 8% ±3 | 32% ±12 | 48% ±22 | 57% ±34 | 3.5d | 2.88% | 1.47% | 343 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 1,808.84–1,818.2 (-3.4%) | 7.4 | 0.4% | 1h | 13.9d ago · 46× | 9% ±7 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 19% ±16 | 28% ±28 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 405 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 1,881.56 | 1,915.31 | 1,868.65 | target | +0.23% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 1,881.56 | 1,916.69 | 1,857.77 | target | +0.23% |