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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-14 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 1,955.07–1,960.46 (+4.1%) | 9.1 | 0.6% | 2h | 10.3d ago · 49× | 11% ±7 | 61% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 24% ±17 | 37% ±28 | > 7d | 3.31% | 1.12% | 445 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,929.38 (+2.7%) | 6.1 | 2.8% | 16h | 1.4d ago · 97× | 15% ±5 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 104 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±5 | 33% ±12 | 50% ±20 | 6.9d | 2.32% | 1.67% | 1024 → 24 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,922.75 (+2.4%) | 5.3 | 5.2% | 1.8d | 18.9d ago · 44× | 18% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 3% ±1 | 18% ±8 | 34% ±18 | 52% ±28 | 6.4d | 1.90% | 1.47% | 507 → 12 | |
| 7D POC | 1,915.31 (+2.0%) | 4.4 | 5.3% | 2.0d | 3.4d ago · 103× | 21% ±9 | 48% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 125 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±9 | 42% ±19 | 58% ±29 | 4.7d | 2.11% | 1.45% | 457 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,908.73 (+1.6%) | 3.7 | 4.1% | 1.0d | 2.1d ago · 69× | 37% ±11 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±11 | 81 | 9% ±3 | 36% ±11 | 57% ±20 | 73% ±27 | 2.1d | 2.15% | 1.23% | 435 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 1,908.39–1,926.34 (+1.6%) | 3.6 | 4.1% | 1.0d | 7.1d ago · 82× | 32% ±10 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 105 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±9 | 52% ±18 | 62% ±26 | 2.7d | 1.95% | 1.55% | 558 → 13 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,881.27 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 5.4% | 1.8d | 4.6d ago · 56× | 89% ±12 | 46% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 45% ±12 | 64 | 73% ±7 | 89% ±12 | 92% ±17 | 94% ±23 | 1h | 1.72% | 1.55% | 155 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,877.76 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,872.63–1,873.38 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 6.0% | 2.0d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 86% ±9 | 50% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 38% ±9 | 107 | 69% ±5 | 86% ±9 | 92% ±12 | 94% ±16 | 1h | 2.15% | 1.44% | 347 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,852.43–1,856.32 (-1.1%) | 2.5 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 4.6d ago · 58× | 32% ±10 | 47% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±12 | 70 | 9% ±2 | 32% ±10 | 53% ±18 | 66% ±27 | 2.6d | 2.47% | 1.64% | 516 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 1,877.76 | 1,908.73 | 1,852.43 | expired | -0.09% |
| 30d | POC | long | 1,877.76 | 1,922.75 | 1,856.32 | expired | -0.09% |