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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,411 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.17 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 1,955.07–1,960.46 (+4.4%) | 10 | 0.5% | 2h | 10.6d ago · 49× | 8% ±6 | 61% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 18% ±15 | 31% ±27 | > 7d | 3.31% | 1.12% | 452 → 11 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,922.75 (+2.7%) | 6.3 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 19.2d ago · 44× | 13% ±7 | 45% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 27% ±15 | 46% ±25 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.47% | 614 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,912.89 (+2.2%) | 5.1 | 4.3% | 1.6d | 1.1d ago · 97× | 23% ±7 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 104 | 3% ±1 | 22% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 60% ±20 | 4.4d | 2.32% | 1.67% | 955 → 23 | |
| HVN zone | 1,910.18–1,926.34 (+2.0%) | 4.7 | 3.8% | 1.0d | 7.4d ago · 82× | 22% ±8 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 105 | 3% ±1 | 22% ±8 | 42% ±17 | 56% ±26 | 4.7d | 1.95% | 1.55% | 588 → 14 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,908.73 (+1.9%) | 4.5 | 3.8% | 23h | 1.1d ago · 70× | 23% ±8 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±11 | 81 | 4% ±1 | 23% ±8 | 45% ±17 | 67% ±25 | 3.6d | 2.15% | 1.23% | 601 → 14 | |
| 7D POC | 1,884.26 (+0.6%) | 1.5 | 4.6% | 1.5d | 3.7d ago · 103× | 68% ±12 | 48% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 125 | 36% ±5 | 68% ±12 | 81% ±17 | 88% ±21 | 9h | 2.11% | 1.45% | 371 → 9 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 1,872.63–1,873.38 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.7% | 2.0d | 3.7d ago · 78× | 93% ±8 | 38% ±10 | 13% ±7 | 48% ±10 | 97 | 82% ±5 | 93% ±8 | 95% ±11 | 97% ±15 | 1h | 1.88% | 1.27% | 226 → 5 | |
| at post · 1,872.53 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 1,861.62 (-0.6%) | 1.4 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 4.7d ago · 84× | 63% ±11 | 58% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 110 | 37% ±5 | 63% ±11 | 78% ±17 | 84% ±22 | 9h | 2.32% | 1.35% | 429 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,852.43–1,856.32 (-0.9%) | 2.0 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 4.9d ago · 58× | 37% ±11 | 47% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±12 | 70 | 11% ±3 | 37% ±11 | 56% ±19 | 69% ±27 | 2.1d | 2.47% | 1.64% | 452 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 1,872.53 | 1,852.43 | 1,908.73 | expired | -0.56% |
| 30d | POC | short | 1,872.53 | 1,856.32 | 1,922.75 | expired | -0.56% |