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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-14 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 1,955.07–1,960.46 (+3.7%) | 9.4 | 0.5% | 2h | 10.2d ago · 49× | 10% ±7 | 61% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 23% ±16 | 36% ±28 | > 7d | 3.31% | 1.12% | 455 → 11 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,920.96 (+1.9%) | 4.8 | 4.6% | 1.8d | 18.8d ago · 44× | 20% ±9 | 45% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 4% ±2 | 20% ±9 | 39% ±19 | 55% ±29 | 5.5d | 1.90% | 1.47% | 453 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 1,910.18–1,926.34 (+1.4%) | 3.4 | 3.6% | 23h | 7.0d ago · 82× | 34% ±10 | 55% ±10 | 20% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 105 | 6% ±2 | 34% ±10 | 54% ±18 | 64% ±26 | 2.4d | 1.95% | 1.55% | 560 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 1,909.47–1,909.95 (+1.3%) | 3.3 | 3.6% | 22h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 38% ±9 | 54% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 104 | 9% ±2 | 38% ±9 | 59% ±15 | 76% ±20 | 1.7d | 2.25% | 1.48% | 750 → 18 | |
| at post · 1,884.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 1,884.26 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 93% ±7 | 52% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 39% ±8 | 144 | 83% ±4 | 93% ±7 | 95% ±10 | 98% ±10 | 1h | 2.08% | 1.24% | 324 → 8 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,872.63–1,873.38 (-0.6%) | 1.5 | 5.6% | 1.9d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 67% ±13 | 50% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 38% ±9 | 107 | 36% ±6 | 67% ±13 | 82% ±19 | 88% ±24 | 8h | 2.15% | 1.44% | 293 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,861.62 (-1.2%) | 3.1 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 4.4d ago · 84× | 35% ±9 | 58% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 110 | 9% ±2 | 35% ±9 | 60% ±15 | 69% ±22 | 1.9d | 2.32% | 1.35% | 716 → 17 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,856.32 (-1.5%) | 3.8 | 2.8% | 23h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 24% ±9 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 5% ±2 | 24% ±9 | 40% ±19 | 50% ±30 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 464 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,852.43 (-1.7%) | 4.3 | 1.8% | 10h | 4.5d ago · 58× | 22% ±8 | 44% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 70 | 4% ±1 | 22% ±7 | 45% ±16 | 65% ±23 | 3.8d | 2.19% | 1.79% | 697 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 1,884.74 | 1,909.47 | 1,861.62 | expired | -0.04% |