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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-18 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 1,956.18–1,961.02 (+2.3%) | 5.2 | 0.6% | 2h | 10.3d ago · 49× | 21% ±10 | 61% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±10 | 42% ±20 | 59% ±30 | 4.8d | 3.31% | 1.12% | 408 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,922.29 (+0.5%) | 1.2 | 5.0% | 1.7d | 18.8d ago · 44× | 73% ±15 | 45% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 43% ±7 | 73% ±15 | 81% ±23 | 91% ±25 | 6h | 1.90% | 1.47% | 195 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,913.04 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.4% | 1.9d | 2.0d ago · 69× | 90% ±12 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 82 | 77% ±7 | 90% ±11 | 93% ±16 | 95% ±21 | 1h | 2.08% | 1.18% | 160 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,911.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 1,904.85 (-0.4%) | 0.8 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 2.1d ago · 64× | 85% ±13 | 46% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 50% ±12 | 69 | 63% ±7 | 86% ±13 | 92% ±17 | 96% ±19 | 2h | 1.70% | 2.12% | 181 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 1,865.8–1,886.78 (-1.3%) | 2.9 | 5.0% | 1.6d | 2.1d ago · 84× | 44% ±11 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 121 | 11% ±3 | 44% ±11 | 70% ±18 | 79% ±24 | 1.3d | 1.92% | 1.52% | 467 → 11 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,880.82–1,884.43 (-1.4%) | 3.2 | 5.6% | 2.3d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 41% ±11 | 51% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 38% ±8 | 146 | 9% ±3 | 41% ±11 | 63% ±19 | 78% ±24 | 1.5d | 2.04% | 1.33% | 458 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,874.68 (-1.9%) | 4.4 | 6.1% | 2.1d | 4.4d ago · 84× | 26% ±7 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 111 | 4% ±1 | 26% ±7 | 49% ±14 | 62% ±20 | 3.2d | 2.31% | 1.31% | 924 → 22 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,870.38 (-2.2%) | 4.9 | 5.5% | 1.7d | 4.6d ago · 58× | 19% ±7 | 45% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 50% ±12 | 71 | 3% ±1 | 19% ±7 | 41% ±15 | 64% ±22 | 4.3d | 2.16% | 1.79% | 789 → 19 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,864.19 (-2.5%) | 5.6 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 20.4d ago · 30× | 10% ±6 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 27% ±14 | 40% ±24 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 679 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 1,911.96 | 1,880.82 | 1,920.72 | stop | -16.01% |