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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-19 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,409 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 1,956.18–1,961.02 (+2.3%) | 5.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 10.4d ago · 49× | 21% ±10 | 61% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±10 | 42% ±20 | 58% ±31 | 4.9d | 3.31% | 1.12% | 407 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 1,921.21–1,922.29 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 5.1% | 1.8d | 2.2d ago · 69× | 79% ±12 | 52% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 39% ±11 | 82 | 52% ±6 | 79% ±12 | 85% ±17 | 91% ±21 | 4h | 1.99% | 1.26% | 283 → 7 | |
| 14D POC | 1,915.31 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 5.8% | 2.1d | 3.5d ago · 78× | 94% ±7 | 37% ±10 | 14% ±7 | 50% ±10 | 98 | 78% ±5 | 94% ±7 | 96% ±10 | 97% ±12 | 1h | 2.01% | 1.26% | 274 → 7 | |
| at post · 1,912.63 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 1,905.48 (-0.4%) | 0.9 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 2.2d ago · 64× | 85% ±13 | 46% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 50% ±12 | 69 | 62% ±7 | 85% ±12 | 92% ±16 | 96% ±17 | 2h | 1.70% | 2.12% | 189 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 1,865.8–1,886.78 (-1.4%) | 3.1 | 4.8% | 1.5d | 2.2d ago · 84× | 42% ±11 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 121 | 10% ±3 | 42% ±11 | 69% ±17 | 78% ±24 | 1.3d | 1.92% | 1.52% | 480 → 11 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 1,874.68–1,884.43 (-1.5%) | 3.4 | 5.4% | 2.2d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 29% ±7 | 52% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 40% ±8 | 146 | 6% ±1 | 29% ±7 | 52% ±13 | 68% ±19 | 3.0d | 2.17% | 1.34% | 949 → 23 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,864.19 (-2.5%) | 5.8 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 20.6d ago · 30× | 10% ±5 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±5 | 26% ±14 | 39% ±23 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 702 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 1,912.63 | 1,878.55 | 1,921.21 | stop | -18.25% |