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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-19 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 1,956.18–1,961.02 (+1.8%) | 4.5 | 0.5% | 2h | 10.2d ago · 49× | 22% ±10 | 61% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±10 | 44% ±20 | 62% ±30 | 4.0d | 3.31% | 1.12% | 407 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 1,925.51 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 3.7% | 1.0d | 18.7d ago · 44× | 89% ±12 | 46% ±13 | 12% ±9 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 62% ±8 | 89% ±12 | 93% ±17 | 96% ±19 | 2h | 1.86% | 1.40% | 159 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 1,921.21 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 1.9d ago · 69× | 92% ±11 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 82 | 79% ±6 | 92% ±10 | 95% ±14 | 97% ±17 | 1h | 2.08% | 1.18% | 153 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,920.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 1,915.02–1,915.31 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 5.8% | 2.1d | 1.6d ago · 84× | 84% ±9 | 51% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 110 | 66% ±5 | 84% ±9 | 92% ±12 | 94% ±15 | 1h | 2.01% | 1.41% | 362 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,908.14 (-0.7%) | 1.6 | 4.8% | 1.3d | 2.0d ago · 64× | 75% ±15 | 46% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 50% ±12 | 69 | 34% ±7 | 76% ±15 | 87% ±20 | 94% ±22 | 9h | 1.70% | 2.12% | 200 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 1,867.41–1,886.78 (-1.8%) | 4.3 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 2.0d ago · 84× | 29% ±10 | 50% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 122 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±9 | 55% ±18 | 67% ±26 | 2.3d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 532 → 13 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 1,879.45–1,880.72 (-2.1%) | 5.1 | 5.6% | 2.7d | 1.6d ago · 106× | 20% ±7 | 49% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 43% ±8 | 147 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 42% ±14 | 65% ±21 | 4.1d | 2.10% | 1.40% | 847 → 20 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,874.97 (-2.4%) | 5.9 | 5.4% | 1.8d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 18% ±6 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 111 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±6 | 38% ±13 | 53% ±20 | 5.7d | 2.31% | 1.31% | 1035 → 25 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,867.41 (-2.8%) | 6.8 | 4.5% | 1.6d | 20.4d ago · 30× | 7% ±5 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±4 | 22% ±12 | 35% ±21 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 785 → 19 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 1,920.75 | 1,921.21 | 1,879.45 | target | +18.80% |