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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-08-19 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 1,956.18–1,961.02 (+1.0%) | 2.4 | 0.6% | 2h | 10.2d ago · 49× | 38% ±13 | 61% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 11% ±4 | 38% ±13 | 58% ±23 | 75% ±32 | 1.8d | 3.31% | 1.12% | 303 → 7 | |
| at post · 1,936.33 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 1,922.12–1,925.51 (-0.6%) | 1.3 | 4.1% | 1.1d | 4.5d ago · 55× | 71% ±15 | 50% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 41% ±13 | 58 | 40% ±7 | 71% ±15 | 83% ±22 | 86% ±30 | 9h | 1.90% | 1.71% | 199 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 1,902.92–1,923.9 (-0.6%) | 1.5 | 4.8% | 1.5d | 1.9d ago · 84× | 68% ±11 | 50% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 122 | 37% ±5 | 68% ±11 | 81% ±16 | 88% ±20 | 8h | 1.92% | 1.51% | 401 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 1,915.02–1,915.31 (-1.1%) | 2.5 | 6.2% | 2.2d | 1.6d ago · 84× | 50% ±13 | 51% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 110 | 15% ±4 | 50% ±13 | 71% ±21 | 82% ±27 | 1.1d | 2.01% | 1.41% | 330 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,907.29 (-1.5%) | 3.5 | 5.2% | 1.4d | 1.9d ago · 64× | 37% ±15 | 46% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 50% ±12 | 69 | 8% ±3 | 37% ±15 | 61% ±26 | 77% ±34 | 1.8d | 1.70% | 2.12% | 249 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 1,880.36–1,884.3 (-2.7%) | 6.2 | 5.4% | 2.3d | 1.6d ago · 106× | 15% ±6 | 49% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 43% ±8 | 147 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 36% ±13 | 61% ±20 | 4.8d | 2.10% | 1.40% | 940 → 22 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,874.21 (-3.2%) | 7.4 | 5.7% | 1.9d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 12% ±5 | 59% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 111 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±5 | 30% ±12 | 47% ±20 | > 7d | 2.31% | 1.31% | 995 → 24 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,867.41 (-3.6%) | 8.2 | 4.7% | 1.7d | 20.3d ago · 30× | 5% ±4 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 18% ±11 | 32% ±20 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 890 → 21 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 1,936.33 | 1,994.43 | 1,915.02 | target | +18.24% |