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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-01 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,539.47 (+3.9%) | 5.5 | 0.4% | 53m | 2.0d ago · 69× | 16% ±6 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 84 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±6 | 37% ±15 | 58% ±23 | 5.3d | 2.08% | 1.18% | 763 → 18 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,504.45 (+2.4%) | 3.5 | 2.8% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 35% ±8 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 111 | 7% ±2 | 35% ±8 | 57% ±14 | 76% ±19 | 1.9d | 2.29% | 1.66% | 810 → 19 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,448.12–2,455.3 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.1% | 24h | 3.4d ago · 103× | 90% ±7 | 43% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 46% ±9 | 132 | 72% ±4 | 89% ±7 | 93% ±10 | 96% ±12 | 1h | 2.02% | 1.40% | 411 → 10 | |
| at post · 2,445.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,433.39 (-0.5%) | 0.7 | 2.6% | 24h | 4.4d ago · 84× | 78% ±11 | 58% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 113 | 56% ±5 | 78% ±10 | 87% ±15 | 91% ±19 | 3h | 2.27% | 1.31% | 357 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,350.93 (-3.9%) | 5.5 | 0.6% | 2h | 4.6d ago · 58× | 14% ±6 | 45% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 50% ±12 | 71 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 36% ±13 | 59% ±21 | 4.9d | 2.16% | 1.79% | 882 → 21 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.26–2,218.97 (-9.3%) | 13 | 0.2% | 9m | 13.8d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±15 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 531 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 1,856.75–1,930.67 (-21.0%) | 30 | 1.0% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 84× | 1% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 129 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 6% ±18 | 6% ±27 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 123 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 1,875.23 (-23.3%) | 33 | 5.7% | 2.7d | 1.7d ago · 72× | 0% ±2 | 54% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 5% ±16 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.18% | 279 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,827.18 (-25.3%) | 36 | <0.1% | 15m | 20.4d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±14 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 417 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,445.22 | 2,433.39 | 2,504.45 | target | +2.81% |
| 14d | POC | short | 2,445.22 | 2,350.93 | 2,539.47 | expired | +2.81% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,445.22 | 1,875.23 | 2,559.89 | expired | +2.81% |