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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-01 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,533.34 (+4.2%) | 6.0 | 0.8% | 2h | 1.9d ago · 69× | 14% ±6 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 84 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 36% ±14 | 57% ±22 | 5.7d | 2.08% | 1.18% | 822 → 20 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,502.63 (+2.9%) | 4.2 | 2.8% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 29% ±7 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 111 | 5% ±1 | 29% ±7 | 50% ±14 | 70% ±19 | 3.0d | 2.29% | 1.66% | 918 → 22 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,448.12–2,454.35 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 3.3d ago · 103× | 79% ±10 | 43% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 46% ±9 | 132 | 53% ±5 | 79% ±10 | 87% ±14 | 92% ±17 | 4h | 2.02% | 1.40% | 412 → 10 | |
| at post · 2,431.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,429.75 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.5% | 18h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 90% ±9 | 58% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 34% ±9 | 113 | 74% ±6 | 91% ±9 | 94% ±14 | 95% ±19 | 1h | 2.27% | 1.31% | 221 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,361.43 (-2.9%) | 4.1 | 0.6% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 58× | 22% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 50% ±12 | 71 | 4% ±1 | 22% ±8 | 44% ±16 | 62% ±24 | 4.1d | 2.16% | 1.79% | 688 → 16 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.26–2,218.97 (-8.7%) | 12 | 0.2% | 9m | 13.7d ago · 46× | 2% ±3 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±7 | 11% ±17 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 556 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 1,856.75–1,930.67 (-20.6%) | 29 | 1.0% | 4h | 2.0d ago · 84× | 1% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 129 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 7% ±18 | 7% ±28 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 130 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 1,875.23 (-22.9%) | 33 | 5.6% | 2.7d | 1.6d ago · 72× | 0% ±2 | 54% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 5% ±17 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.18% | 292 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,827.18 (-24.9%) | 35 | <0.1% | 15m | 20.4d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 6% ±14 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 441 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,431.68 | 1,875.23 | 2,559.89 | expired | +1.91% |