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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-04 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 2,508.48 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,507.55 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.1% | 23h | 11.0d ago · 55× | 85% ±16 | 58% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 36% ±12 | 61 | 72% ±8 | 85% ±16 | 91% ±23 | 91% ±33 | 1h | 2.19% | 1.75% | 114 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,480.49 (-1.1%) | 1.3 | 3.4% | 20h | 1.8d ago · 64× | 80% ±13 | 46% ±11 | 4% ±4 | 50% ±11 | 73 | 43% ±7 | 79% ±13 | 87% ±19 | 93% ±23 | 6h | 1.70% | 2.11% | 212 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,443.25–2,452.13 (-2.2%) | 2.7 | 4.2% | 1.6d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 44% ±11 | 49% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 40% ±8 | 152 | 11% ±3 | 44% ±11 | 64% ±18 | 80% ±24 | 1.3d | 1.94% | 1.40% | 473 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,402.93 (-4.2%) | 5.0 | 3.0% | 16h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 18% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 49% ±12 | 72 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±6 | 40% ±14 | 61% ±21 | 4.5d | 2.10% | 1.77% | 832 → 20 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,381.98 (-5.0%) | 6.0 | 2.3% | 10h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 17% ±6 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 114 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 52% ±20 | 6.1d | 2.27% | 1.35% | 1064 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-11.6%) | 14 | 0.2% | 7m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 8% ±15 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 535 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 1,866.5–1,923.64 (-23.3%) | 28 | 3.4% | 1.7d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 1% ±3 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 129 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±17 | 7% ±25 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 163 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 1,912.93 (-23.7%) | 28 | 6.3% | 3.3d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 0% ±1 | 54% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±7 | 6% ±15 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.18% | 364 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,852.22 (-26.2%) | 31 | 0.2% | 20m | 20.2d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±14 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 558 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 2,508.48 | 2,613.1 | 2,443.25 | stop | -2.41% |