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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-04 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 2,526.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,395–2,516.41 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.2% | 14h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 87% ±9 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 129 | 69% ±5 | 87% ±9 | 91% ±13 | 93% ±17 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.50% | 351 → 8 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,509.35 (-0.7%) | 0.8 | 4.2% | 24h | 11.0d ago · 55× | 79% ±14 | 58% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 36% ±12 | 61 | 52% ±7 | 79% ±14 | 87% ±20 | 87% ±29 | 3h | 2.19% | 1.75% | 200 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,479.93 (-1.8%) | 2.2 | 3.4% | 21h | 1.8d ago · 64× | 63% ±16 | 46% ±11 | 4% ±4 | 50% ±11 | 73 | 23% ±6 | 63% ±15 | 77% ±23 | 88% ±28 | 17h | 1.70% | 2.11% | 225 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,442.8–2,452.13 (-2.9%) | 3.5 | 4.1% | 1.6d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 34% ±10 | 49% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 40% ±8 | 152 | 7% ±2 | 34% ±10 | 58% ±19 | 75% ±24 | 2.0d | 1.94% | 1.40% | 488 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,405.83 (-4.8%) | 5.8 | 3.2% | 19h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 14% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 49% ±12 | 72 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±5 | 35% ±13 | 58% ±21 | 5.1d | 2.10% | 1.77% | 915 → 22 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,380.44 (-5.8%) | 7.0 | 2.2% | 9h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 13% ±5 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 114 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 31% ±12 | 47% ±20 | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.35% | 1042 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-12.3%) | 15 | 0.2% | 7m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±15 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 521 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 1,912.93 (-24.3%) | 29 | 6.3% | 3.2d | 1.5d ago · 72× | 0% ±1 | 54% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±7 | 6% ±16 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.18% | 346 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,852.22 (-26.7%) | 32 | 0.2% | 20m | 20.2d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±13 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 533 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 2,526.43 | 2,629.96 | 2,442.8 | stop | -2.80% |