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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-04 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,519.92 (+2.8%) | 2.8 | 3.4% | 15h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 50% ±13 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 84 | 19% ±4 | 50% ±13 | 66% ±21 | 81% ±27 | 1.0d | 2.08% | 1.18% | 341 → 8 | |
| 14D POC | 2,504.07 (+2.2%) | 2.2 | 5.2% | 1.3d | 3.2d ago · 78× | 60% ±15 | 37% ±9 | 13% ±7 | 50% ±10 | 102 | 21% ±5 | 60% ±15 | 75% ±23 | 82% ±30 | 16h | 2.03% | 1.26% | 237 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,483.68 (+1.4%) | 1.4 | 4.0% | 23h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 63% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 111 | 38% ±5 | 63% ±11 | 79% ±17 | 90% ±19 | 9h | 2.29% | 1.66% | 410 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,452.13 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.9% | 1.8d | 18.6d ago · 44× | 92% ±13 | 45% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 43% ±13 | 57 | 74% ±8 | 92% ±13 | 95% ±18 | 97% ±18 | 1h | 1.82% | 1.47% | 116 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,450.12 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,444.34 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 4.9% | 1.5d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 91% ±7 | 52% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 40% ±8 | 152 | 80% ±4 | 91% ±7 | 94% ±10 | 97% ±11 | 1h | 2.08% | 1.22% | 371 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,420.62 (-1.2%) | 1.2 | 4.3% | 1.2d | 4.3d ago · 58× | 63% ±13 | 46% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 73 | 41% ±5 | 63% ±13 | 72% ±21 | 79% ±30 | 7h | 2.16% | 1.76% | 313 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,381.98 (-2.8%) | 2.8 | 2.7% | 12h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 38% ±9 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±9 | 114 | 10% ±2 | 38% ±9 | 62% ±15 | 70% ±22 | 1.7d | 2.27% | 1.35% | 685 → 16 | |
| LVN zone | 2,130.75–2,216.45 (-9.5%) | 9.5 | 0.2% | 9m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 4% ±4 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 10% ±11 | 18% ±21 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 557 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 1,873.65–1,923.64 (-21.5%) | 21 | 4.0% | 2.0d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 2% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 129 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±14 | 9% ±22 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 231 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 1,912.93 (-21.9%) | 22 | 7.2% | 3.7d | 1.5d ago · 72× | 1% ±2 | 54% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 10% ±17 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.18% | 504 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,852.22 (-24.4%) | 24 | 0.2% | 24m | 20.2d ago · 30× | 1% ±2 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±6 | 13% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 781 → 19 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,450.12 | 2,444.34 | 2,501.98 | target | -0.31% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,450.12 | 2,504.07 | 2,537.79 | target | -0.31% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,450.12 | 1,912.93 | 2,560.12 | expired | -0.31% |